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  • NCAA Basketball 2016

    Saturday 12/2/16

    --> Elon -5.5
    --> VMI +5.5

    __________________

    Season = 0-0

    __________________

    I ran some test last week in the NBA comment section and went 11-4, so hopefully I can have another great season. GLA!

  • #2
    MONDAY 1/4

    --> Fairfield -5
    --> Sienna -2.5
    --> Green Bay -6.5

    --> Detroit/Cleveland St Under 148
    ______________________________________

    NCAAB = 0-2 for -2.20 Units

    Comment


    • #3
      Tuesday

      Model without SOS

      Value

      +7.5 - Indiana -7.5 vs Wisconsin *Over 143 (144)
      +5.5 - LSU +5.5 vs Kentucky Under 156.5 (150)
      +4.0 - VMI +3 vs Wofford Over 140 (141)
      +3.5 - Marquette +9.5 at Providence *Under 145.5 (145)
      +3.0 - Minnesota +6 at Penn State Over 134 (139)
      +3.0 - Creighton -3 vs Georgetown Under 154 (149)
      +3.0 - Arkansas +2 vs Vanderbilt Under 153 (148)
      +2.5 - NC Greensboro +1.5 vs Furman Over 130 (137)
      +2.5 - UCONN -10.5 vs Temple Over 139 (141)
      +2.5 - Tennessee Chat -5.5 vs Mercer Over 127 (134)
      +2.0 - Kansas St +5 at Texas Over 132.5 (137)
      +2.0 - DePaul +8 vs Butler Under 155 (150)
      +2.0 - Syracuse -5 vs Clemson Over 123 (133)
      +1.5 - VCU +2.5 at St.Joe's Over 142 (144)
      +1.5 - Nebraska +15.5 at Iowa Under 145.5 (144)
      +1.0 - Auburn +6 vs S.Carolina Under 156 (151)
      +1.0 - W.Michigan pk vs Kent Under 147 (144)
      +1.0 - Houston -10 vs Tulane Over 140 (141)
      +0.5 - Boise St -1.5 at Utah St Under 146.5 (145)
      +0.0 - Richmond -4 at Rhode Island *Over 143 (146)
      +0.0 - Tulsa -10 vs E.Carolina Over 143 (144)
      +0.0 - Oklahoma St +9 at Baylor Over 136 (138)
      ----------------------------------------
      + = 12
      - = 9
      H = 14
      A = 8

      Model With SOS
      ----------------------------------------
      +8.5 - Indiana -7.5 vs Wisconsin
      +6.5 - Tulsa -10 vs E.Carolina
      +6.0 - Baylor -9 vs Oklahoma St
      +5.5 - Iowa -15.5 vs Nebraska
      +5.0 - Boise St -1.5 at Utah St
      +4.5 - Tennessee Chat -5.5 vs Mercer
      +4.5 - Syracuse -5 vs Clemson
      +4.5 - Auburn +6 vs S.Carolina
      +3.0 - Creighton -3 vs Georgetown
      +2.5 - Butler -8 at DePaul
      +2.0 - Minnesota +6 at Penn State
      +2.0 - Richmond -4 at Rhode Island
      +1.5 - Wofford -3 at VMI
      +1.5 - VCU +2.5 at St.Joe's
      +1.5 - NC Greensboro +1.5 vs Furman
      +1.0 - Texas -5 vs Kansas St
      +1.0 - Kent pk at W.Michigan
      +1.0 - Vanderbilt -2 at Arkansas
      +0.5 - Houston -10 vs Tulane
      +0.5 - LSU +5.5 vs Kentucky
      +0.0 - Marquette +9.5 at Providence
      +0.0 - UCONN -10.5 vs Temple
      ----------------------------------------
      + = 6
      - = 15
      H = 13
      A = 9

      Comment


      • #4
        Yesterdays Results ---- ( The wrong line was posted in the Richmond game ) I had it backwards. )

        Totals = 13-9
        Without SOS = 12-7
        With SOS = 12-8

        ( Doesn't include any +0.00 Values Obviously )

        In comparison, KenPom went 7-10 ATS and 6-10 Totals in these games.

        I haven't went through and looked for edges within yet, but I have tomorrow's games done. I'm not sure if I will play anything or just track again. I would of went 3-2 ATS and 2-0 in teasers with my leans.

        Comment


        • #5
          WEDNESDAY 1/6

          Without SOS (12-7)

          +11.0 - Rutgers +24 at Maryland
          +9.5 - Oral Roberts +3.5 at Denver
          +8.0 - Massachusetts +13 at Dayton
          +7.5 - Evansville +9.5 at Wichita St
          +7.0 - Indiana St. +1 at Drake
          +5.0 - Bowling Green -4 vs Miami OH
          +5.0 - Seton Hall +14 at Villanova
          +5.0 - Saint Louis +10 vs George Washington
          +4.5 - E.Michigan +4.5 at C.Michigan
          +4.0 - Air Force +6 at Wyoming
          +3.5 - Ohio State +2.5 at Northwestern
          +3.5 - Wake Forest +7.5 vs Duke
          +3.0 - St. John's +15 vs Xavier
          +3.0 - Mississippi St +7 vs Texas A&M
          +2.5 - Oregon -2.5 vs California
          +2.0 - Missouri +11 at Georgia
          +2.0 - Hawaii -9 vs Cal Poly
          +2.0 - Toledo -2 at Ball St
          +2.0 - Tennessee +3 vs Florida
          +2.0 - South Dakota +6 at IPFW
          +1.5 - Oregon St -6.5 vs Stanford
          +1.0 - St. Bonaventure -3 at George Mason
          +1.0 - Nevada +6 at Fresno St
          +1.0 - Ohio pk at Northern Illinois
          +1.0 - Texas Tech +10 at Iowa St
          +0.5 - Colorado St +4.5 vs UNLV
          +0.0 - Georgia Tech +8 at Pittsburgh

          ------------------------------------------------
          + = 20
          - = 6
          H = 10
          A = 17

          ----------------------------------


          With SOS (12-8)


          +13.0 - Oral Roberts +3.5 at Denver
          +8.0 - Indiana St. +1 at Drake
          +7.5 - E.Michigan +4.5 at C.Michigan
          +5.0 - Xavier -15 at St. John's
          +4.5 - Ohio State +2.5 at Northwestern
          +4.5 - Ohio pk at Northern Illinois
          +4.5 - Toledo -2 at Ball St
          +4.0 - Iowa St -10 vs Texas Tech
          +4.0 - Colorado St +4.5 vs UNLV
          +4.0 - Bowling Green -4 vs Miami OH
          +3.5 - Wake Forest +7.5 vs Duke
          +3.5 - Villanova -14 vs Seton Hall
          +3.0 - Florida -3 at Tennessee
          +3.0 - South Dakota +6 at IPFW
          +3.0 - Massachusetts +13 at Dayton
          +3.0 - Texas A&M -7 at Mississippi St
          +1.5 - Oregon -2.5 vs California
          +1.5 - Nevada +6 at Fresno St
          +1.5 - Evansville +9.5 at Wichita St
          +1.0 - Saint Louis +10 vs George Washington
          +1.0 - Pittsburgh -8 vs Georgia Tech
          +1.0 - Rutgers +24 at Maryland
          +1.0 - Air Force +6 at Wyoming
          +0.5 - St. Bonaventure -3 at George Mason
          +0.5 - Georgia -11 vs Missouri
          +0.0 - Hawaii -9 vs Cal Poly
          +0.0 - Oregon St -6.5 vs Stanford
          ---------------------------
          + = 13
          - = 13
          H = 11
          A = 16

          ---------------------------

          SAME (7-4)

          +13.0 - Oral Roberts +3.5 at Denver
          +8.0 - Indiana St. +1 at Drake
          +7.5 - E.Michigan +4.5 at C.Michigan
          +4.5 - Ohio State +2.5 at Northwestern
          +4.5 - Toledo -2 at Ball St
          +4.5 - Ohio pk at Northern Illinois
          +4.0 - Colorado St +4.5 vs UNLV
          +4.0 - Bowling Green -4 vs Miami OH
          +3.5 - Wake Forest +7.5 vs Duke
          +3.0 - Massachusetts +13 at Dayton
          +3.0 - South Dakota +6 at IPFW
          +1.5 - Evansville +9.5 at Wichita St
          +1.5 - Nevada +6 at Fresno St
          +1.5 - Oregon -2.5 vs California
          +1.0 - Saint Louis +10 vs George Washington
          +1.0 - Rutgers +24 at Maryland
          +1.0 - Air Force +6 at Wyoming
          +0.5 - St. Bonaventure -3 at George Mason
          +0.0 - Hawaii -9 vs Cal Poly
          +0.0 - Oregon St -6.5 vs Stanford

          ------------------------------

          + = 13
          - = 6
          H = 7
          A = 13

          Comment


          • #6
            Wednesday 1/6

            --> Toledo -2
            --> Bonaventure -3
            ______________________

            Season = 2-4 for -2.40 Units

            Comment


            • #7
              Originally posted by fuqer View Post
              Wednesday 1/6

              --> Toledo -2
              --> Bonaventure -3
              ______________________

              Season = 2-4 for -2.40 Units
              --> Indiana St -1
              --> Ohio State +2

              Comment


              • #8
                WEDNESDAY 1/6 Results

                Official Plays 3-1

                Model Without SOS

                16-10 Overall ATS
                3-2 Top 5
                7-3 Top 10

                Model With SOS

                11-15 Overall
                4-1 Top 5
                6-4 Top 10

                SAME

                10-8 Overall
                4-1 Top 5
                6-4 Top 10

                O/U = 14-12

                Comment


                • #9
                  RAW = Model numbers without Home Court factored.
                  ADJ = Model Adjusted with Home Court factored.
                  KP = KenPom Projections for Comparision

                  I use the ADJ to get the values.

                  -----------------------------------
                  Thursday 1/7



                  Notre Dame -9 at Boston College 135.5

                  RAW -4 (72-68)
                  ADJ -4
                  KP. -7 (72-65)

                  Value = +5.0 - Boston College +9 vs Notre Dame
                  O/U = Over 135.5 (140)

                  ---------------------------------------------------------

                  Elon +8 at James Madison 154.5

                  RAW -6 (78-72)
                  ADJ -1
                  KP. +10 (73-83)

                  Value = +9.0 - Elon +8 at James Madison
                  O/U = Under 154.5 (150)

                  ---------------------------------------------------------

                  Louisville -6 at NC State 136

                  RAW -6 (72-66)
                  ADJ -6
                  KP. -6 (70-64)

                  Value = +0.0 - Louisville -6 at NC State
                  O/U = Over 136 (138)

                  ---------------------------------------------------------

                  Delaware +11.5 at Northeastern 138.5

                  RAW +3 (69-72)
                  ADJ +9
                  KP. +13 (63-76)

                  Value = +2.5 - Delaware +11.5 at Northeastern
                  O/U = Over 138.5 (141)

                  ---------------------------------------------------------

                  Saint Peter's -2 at Niagara 126.5

                  RAW -4 (69-65)
                  ADJ -4
                  KP. -1 (63-62)

                  Value = +2.0 - Saint Peter's -2 at Niagara
                  O/U = Over 126.5 (134)

                  ---------------------------------------------------------

                  Fairfield +7 at Siena 156.5

                  RAW -1 (76-75)
                  ADJ +4
                  KP. +10 (75-85)

                  Value = +3.0 - Fairfield +7 at Siena
                  O/U = Under 156.5 (151)

                  ---------------------------------------------------------

                  UTEP +9.5 at Middle Tenn St 137.5

                  RAW +1 (69-70)
                  ADJ +7
                  KP. +10 (64-74)

                  Value = +2.5 - UTEP +9.5 at Middle Tenn St
                  O/U = Over 137.5 (139)

                  ---------------------------------------------------------

                  NC Wilmington -2 at Towson 144

                  RAW -11 (77-66)
                  ADJ -11
                  KP. -1 (72-71)

                  Value = +9.0 - NC Wilmington -2 at Towson
                  O/U = Under 144 (143)

                  ---------------------------------------------------------

                  Manhattan +9.5 at Canisius 154

                  RAW +5 (72-77)
                  ADJ +11
                  KP. +11 (72-83)

                  Value = +1.5 - Canisius -9.5 vs Manhattan
                  O/U = Under 154 (149)

                  ---------------------------------------------------------

                  Michigan +7.5 at Purdue 133.5

                  RAW +6 (66-72)
                  ADJ +10
                  KP. +9 (62-71)

                  Value = +2.5 - Purdue -7.5 vs Michigan
                  O/U = Over 133.5 (138)

                  ---------------------------------------------------------

                  Florida Atlantic +10 at Marshall 148

                  RAW +13 (67-80)
                  ADJ +18
                  KP. +11 (70-81)

                  Value = +8.0 - Marshall -10 vs Florida Atlantic
                  O/U = Under 148 (147)

                  ---------------------------------------------------------

                  William & Mary -5 at Drexel 137.5

                  RAW -6 (73-67)
                  ADJ -6
                  KP. -3 (70-67)

                  Value = +1.0 - William & Mary -5 at Drexel
                  O/U = Over 137.5 (140)

                  ---------------------------------------------------------

                  Cincinnati +7 at SMU 139.5

                  RAW +3 (70-73)
                  ADJ +8
                  KP. +8 (67-75)

                  Value = +1.0 - SMU -7 vs Cincinnati
                  O/U = Over 139.5 (143)

                  ---------------------------------------------------------

                  South Dakota St -6 at IUPUI 142.5

                  RAW -6 (74-68)
                  ADJ -6
                  KP. -7 (75-68)

                  Value = +0.0 - South Dakota St -6 at IUPUI
                  O/U = Under 142.5 (142)

                  ---------------------------------------------------------

                  Wisc Green Bay -3 at Cleveland State 146.5

                  RAW -17 (81-64)
                  ADJ -17
                  KP. -3 (75-72)

                  Value = +14.0 - Wisc Green Bay -3 at Cleveland State
                  O/U = Under 146.5 (145)

                  ---------------------------------------------------------

                  South Alabama +3 at Georgia Southern 146.5

                  RAW pk (73-73)
                  ADJ +3
                  KP. +3 (72-75)

                  Value = +0.0 - South Alabama +3 at Georgia Southern
                  O/U = Under 146.5 (146)

                  ---------------------------------------------------------

                  Wisc Milwaukee -5.5 at Youngstown State 154.5

                  RAW +1 (74-75)
                  ADJ +1
                  KP. -1 (78-77)

                  Value = +6.5 - Youngstown State +5.5 vs Wisc Milwaukee
                  O/U = Under 154.5 (149)

                  ---------------------------------------------------------

                  Tennessee Tech +6.5 at Murray State 143.5

                  RAW -3 (73-70)
                  ADJ +2
                  KP. +5 (69-74)

                  Value = +4.5 - Tennessee Tech +6.5 at Murray State
                  O/U = Under 143.5 (143)

                  ---------------------------------------------------------

                  Tennessee-Martin +4 at Eastern Kentucky 152.5

                  RAW +5 (72-77)
                  ADJ +8
                  KP. +5 (75-80)

                  Value = +4.0 - Eastern Kentucky -4 vs Tennessee-Martin
                  O/U = Under 152.5 (149)

                  ---------------------------------------------------------

                  Rider +10 at Iona 143

                  RAW +13 (65-78)
                  ADJ +18
                  KP. +11 (66-77)

                  Value = +8.0 - Iona -10 vs Rider
                  O/U = No Value (143)

                  ---------------------------------------------------------

                  Nebraska Omaha +5 at North Dakota State 150.5

                  RAW -11 (80-69)
                  ADJ -6
                  KP. +5 (74-79)

                  Value = +11.0 - Nebraska Omaha +5 at North Dakota State
                  O/U = Under 150.5 (149)

                  ---------------------------------------------------------

                  Florida Intl +7.5 at Western Kentucky 137

                  RAW +4 (67-71)
                  ADJ +8
                  KP. +6 (64-70)

                  Value = +0.5 - Western Kentucky -7.5 vs Florida Intl
                  O/U = Over 137 (138)

                  ---------------------------------------------------------

                  Charlotte -3 at Southern Miss 129

                  RAW -10 (73-63)
                  ADJ -10
                  KP. -1 (65-64)

                  Value = +7.0 - Charlotte -3 at Southern Miss
                  O/U = Over 129 (136)

                  ---------------------------------------------------------

                  UL Monroe +2 at Arkansas State 142.5

                  RAW +8 (67-75)
                  ADJ +5
                  KP. +4 (68-72)

                  Value = +3.0 - Arkansas State -2 vs UL Monroe
                  O/U =

                  ---------------------------------------------------------

                  Northern Colorado +3.5 at Idaho State 160.5

                  RAW +1 (76-77)
                  ADJ +4
                  KP. +4 (79-83)

                  Value = +0.5 - Idaho State -3.5 vs Northern Colorado
                  O/U = Under 160.5 (153)

                  ---------------------------------------------------------

                  Arizona -2.5 at UCLA 150.5

                  RAW -4 (75-71)
                  ADJ -4
                  KP. -3 (75-72)

                  Value = +1.5 - Arizona -2.5 at UCLA
                  O/U = Under 150.5 (146)

                  ---------------------------------------------------------

                  Alabama +5 at Mississippi 134

                  RAW +2 (67-69)
                  ADJ +6
                  KP. +4 (64-68)

                  Value = +1.0 - Mississippi -5 vs Alabama
                  O/U = Over 134 (136)

                  ---------------------------------------------------------

                  Portland State +10 at Montana 141

                  RAW -1 (71-70)
                  ADJ +5
                  KP. +10 (65-75)

                  Value = +5.0 - Portland State +10 at Montana
                  O/U = No Value (141)

                  ---------------------------------------------------------

                  Illinois +13.5 at Michigan State 146

                  RAW +3 (71-74)
                  ADJ +9
                  KP. +17 (65-82)

                  Value = +4.5 - Illinois +13.5 at Michigan State
                  O/U = Under 146 (145)

                  ---------------------------------------------------------

                  Sacramento State +1 at Montana State 155.5

                  RAW -1 (76-75)
                  ADJ +2
                  KP. +1 (78-79)

                  Value = +1.0 - Montana State -1 vs Sacramento State
                  O/U = Under 155.5 (151)

                  ---------------------------------------------------------

                  Old Dominion +3 at Louisiana Tech 136

                  RAW +10 (65-75)
                  ADJ +13
                  KP. +3 (67-70)

                  Value = +10.0 - Louisiana Tech -3 vs Old Dominion
                  O/U = Over 136 (140)

                  ---------------------------------------------------------

                  San Francisco +1 at San Diego 135.5

                  RAW -2 (70-68)
                  ADJ +1
                  KP. +2 (66-68)

                  Value = +0.0 - San Francisco +1 at San Diego
                  O/U = Over 135.5 (138)

                  ---------------------------------------------------------

                  Arizona State +6 at USC 153.5

                  RAW +6 (71-77)
                  ADJ +10
                  KP. +8 (72-80)

                  Value = +4.0 - USC +6 vs Arizona State
                  O/U = Under 153.5 (148)

                  ---------------------------------------------------------

                  CS Fullerton +4 at UC Riverside 138

                  RAW pk (70-70)
                  ADJ +4
                  KP. +4 (67-71)

                  Value = +0.0 - CS Fullerton +4 at UC Riverside
                  O/U = Over 138 (140)

                  ---------------------------------------------------------

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Without SOS

                    +14.0 - Wisc Green Bay -3 at Cleveland State
                    +11.0 - Nebraska Omaha +5 at North Dakota State
                    +10.0 - Louisiana Tech -3 vs Old Dominion
                    +9.0 - NC Wilmington -2 at Towson
                    +9.0 - Elon +8 at James Madison
                    +8.0 - Iona -10 vs Rider
                    +8.0 - Marshall -10 vs Florida Atlantic
                    +7.0 - Charlotte -3 at Southern Miss
                    +6.5 - Youngstown State +5.5 vs Wisc Milwaukee
                    +5.0 - Portland State +10 at Montana
                    +5.0 - Boston College +9 vs Notre Dame
                    +4.5 - Illinois +13.5 at Michigan State
                    +4.5 - Tennessee Tech +6.5 at Murray State
                    +4.0 - USC +6 vs Arizona State
                    +4.0 - E.Kentucky -4 vs Tennessee-Martin
                    +3.0 - Fairfield +7 at Siena
                    +3.0 - Arkansas State -2 vs UL Monroe
                    +2.5 - Delaware +11.5 at Northeastern
                    +2.5 - UTEP +9.5 at Middle Tenn St
                    +2.5 - Purdue -7.5 vs Michigan
                    +2.0 - Saint Peter's -2 at Niagara
                    +1.5 - Arizona -2.5 at UCLA
                    +1.5 - Canisius -9.5 vs Manhattan
                    +1.0 - Montana State -1 vs Sacramento State
                    +1.0 - William & Mary -5 at Drexel
                    +1.0 - Mississippi -5 vs Alabama
                    +1.0 - SMU -7 vs Cincinnati
                    +0.5 - W.Kentucky -7.5 vs Florida Intl
                    +0.5 - Idaho State -3.5 vs Northern Colorado
                    ----
                    +0.0 - Louisville -6 at NC State
                    +0.0 - South Dakota St -6 at IUPUI
                    +0.0 - South Alabama +3 at Georgia Southern
                    +0.0 - San Francisco +1 at San Diego
                    +0.0 - CS Fullerton +4 at UC Riverside

                    + = 11
                    - = 18
                    H = 15
                    A = 14

                    ----------------------------------

                    With SOS

                    +14.0 - Wisc Green Bay -3 at Cleveland State
                    +12.0 - Nebraska Omaha +5 at North Dakota State
                    +11.0 - NC Wilmington -2 at Towson
                    +11.0 - Iona -10 vs Rider
                    +11.0 - Marshall -10 vs Florida Atlantic
                    +11.0 - Charlotte -3 at Southern Miss
                    +7.0 - Elon +8 at James Madison
                    +6.5 - W.Kentucky -7.5 vs Florida Intl
                    +6.5 - Louisiana Tech -3 vs Old Dominion
                    +6.0 - Youngstown State +5.5 vs Wisc Milwaukee
                    +4.5 - Purdue -7.5 vs Michigan
                    +4.0 - Louisville -6 at NC State
                    +4.0 - E.Kentucky -4 vs Tennessee-Martin
                    +3.5 - Middle Tenn St -9.5 vs UTEP
                    +3.0 - Canisius -9.5 vs Manhattan
                    +3.0 - USC +6 vs Arizona State
                    +3.0 - Notre Dame -9 at Boston College
                    +2.5 - Fairfield +7 at Siena
                    +2.0 - Montana State -1 vs Sacramento State
                    +1.5 - CS Fullerton +4 at UC Riverside
                    +1.5 - Saint Peter's -2 at Niagara
                    +1.0 - Northeastern -11.5 vs Delaware
                    +1.0 - Alabama +5 at Mississippi
                    +1.0 - Portland State +10 at Montana
                    +1.0 - San Diego -1 vs San Francisco
                    +1.0 - Idaho State -3.5 vs Northern Colorado
                    +1.0 - Michigan State -13.5 vs Illinois
                    +0.5 - Tennessee Tech +6.5 at Murray State
                    +0.5 - Arkansas State -2 vs UL Monroe
                    +0.5 - South Dakota St -6 at IUPUI
                    +0.5 - William & Mary -5 at Drexel
                    +0.5 - SMU -7 vs Cincinnati
                    ----
                    +0.0 - Arizona -2.5 at UCLA
                    +0.0 - South Alabama +3 at Georgia Southern

                    + = 9
                    - = 23
                    H = 17
                    A = 15

                    -----------------------------------

                    SAME

                    +14.0 - Wisc Green Bay -3 at Cleveland State
                    +12.0 - Nebraska Omaha +5 at North Dakota State
                    +11.0 - NC Wilmington -2 at Towson
                    +11.0 - Iona -10 vs Rider
                    +11.0 - Marshall -10 vs Florida Atlantic
                    +11.0 - Charlotte -3 at Southern Miss
                    +7.0 - Elon +8 at James Madison
                    +6.5 - W.Kentucky -7.5 vs Florida Intl
                    +6.5 - Louisiana Tech -3 vs Old Dominion
                    +6.0 - Youngstown State +5.5 vs Wisc Milwaukee
                    +4.5 - Purdue -7.5 vs Michigan
                    +4.0 - E.Kentucky -4 vs Tennessee-Martin
                    +3.0 - Canisius -9.5 vs Manhattan
                    +3.0 - USC +6 vs Arizona State
                    +2.5 - Fairfield +7 at Siena
                    +2.0 - Montana State -1 vs Sacramento State
                    +1.5 - Saint Peter's -2 at Niagara
                    +1.0 - Portland State +10 at Montana
                    +1.0 - Idaho State -3.5 vs Northern Colorado
                    +0.5 - Tennessee Tech +6.5 at Murray State
                    +0.5 - Arkansas State -2 vs UL Monroe
                    +0.5 - William & Mary -5 at Drexel
                    +0.5 - SMU -7 vs Cincinnati

                    + = 7
                    - = 16
                    H = 13
                    A = 10

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Thursday 1/7

                      --> Charlotte -3
                      --> Saint Peter's -2
                      --> Wisc. Green Bay -3
                      --> Louisiana Tech -3

                      ______________________

                      NCAAB = 5-5 for -0.50 Units

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Thursdays Results

                        Official Plays = 2-2

                        Model Without SOS

                        14-15 Overall
                        3-2 Top 5
                        5-5 Top 10


                        Model with SOS


                        16-16 overall
                        3-2 Top 5
                        5-5 Top 10



                        Same

                        12-11 overall
                        3-2 Top 5
                        5-5 Top 10

                        _________________________

                        I haven't done the O/U results yet, and I may take the day off or two from college basketball, or at least limit some of the games until after the weekend.

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          O/U went 21-11 and since there are only a handful of games tonight, I will prolly run the numbers on them sometime today.

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Friday 1/8


                            Model Without SOS (51-36)

                            +7.0 - Oakland +2 vs Valparaiso
                            +3.5 - W.Michigan +11.5 at Akron
                            +3.5 - Buffalo +6.5 at Kent
                            +2.0 - Colorado -2 vs Utah
                            +1.0 - Illinois Chicago +16 at Detroit

                            ------------------------------------------------

                            Model With SOS (39-39)

                            +6.0 - Oakland +2 vs Valparaiso
                            +5.0 - Buffalo +6.5 at Kent
                            +3.0 - Detroit -16 vs Illinois Chicago
                            +0.5 - Akron -11.5 vs W.Michigan
                            +0.5 - Utah +2 at Colorado

                            ------------------------------------------------

                            SAME (29-23)

                            +6.0 - Oakland +2 vs Valparaiso
                            +5.0 - Buffalo +6.5 at Kent

                            -------------------------------------------------

                            RAW ATS = 51-39
                            ADJ. ATS = 51-36
                            KenPom ATS = 40-36

                            O/U Overall = 55-36
                            KenPom O/U = 35-46
                            -------------------------------------------------

                            Buffalo +6.5 AT Kent 150.5

                            RAW -2 (75-73)
                            ADJ +3
                            KP. +6 (73-79)

                            Value = +3.5 - Buffalo +6.5 AT Kent
                            O/U = Under 150.5 (148)
                            ------------------------------------------
                            Valparaiso -2 AT Oakland 154

                            RAW +5 (72-77)
                            ADJ +5
                            KP. -2 (77-75)

                            Value = +7.0 - Oakland +2 vs Valparaiso
                            O/U = Under 154 (149)
                            ------------------------------------------

                            Western Michigan +11.5 AT Akron 141.5

                            RAW +2 (69-71)
                            ADJ +8
                            KP. +13 (63-76)

                            Value = +3.5 - Western Michigan +11.5 AT Akron
                            O/U = Under 141.5 (140)
                            ------------------------------------------

                            Utah +2 AT Colorado 147

                            RAW +1 (72-73)
                            ADJ +4
                            KP. +4 (71-75)

                            Value = +2.0 - Colorado -2 vs Utah
                            O/U = Under 147 (145)
                            ------------------------------------------

                            Illinois Chicago +16 AT Detroit U 160.5

                            RAW +9 (73-82)
                            ADJ +15
                            KP. +18 (74-92)

                            Value = +1.0 - Illinois Chicago +16 AT Detroit
                            O/U = Under 160.5 (155)
                            ------------------------------------------

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Friday 1/8

                              --> Oakland +3
                              --> Colorado -1
                              --> Illinois Chicago +17
                              --> Buffalo +6.5
                              ------------------

                              NCAAB = 7-7 for -0.70 Units

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