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BDL 2016 Divisional Week 16: Rome Eternals @ Seoul Dragons

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  • BDL 2016 Divisional Week 16: Rome Eternals @ Seoul Dragons

    Vote for who you think would win the game.

    Rules:
    One vote per person, duplicate accounts will be banned and action taken against those attempting to rig the results.

    One vote per team involved in the match. Co-owners may vote in every match up except their own.

    For people who have been following along and wish to vote: please join the conversation and maybe give a reason you voted as you did. This will alleviate any suspicions of unusual voting and will promote discussion.

    Players that have a (D) next to their name indicate that they are doubtful or unlikely to play. Players with (GTD) are game-time decisions.
    13
    Rome Eternals
    38.46%
    5
    Seoul Dragons
    61.54%
    8

    The poll is expired.


  • #2
    Rome Eternals

    QB Derek Carr
    RB Frank Gore
    FB Mike Tolbert
    TE Charles Clay
    WR Amari Cooper
    WR Michael Crabtree
    LT Jason Peters
    LG Ramon Foster
    C Brandon Linder
    RG Andy Levitre
    RT Marcus Gilbert

    WR Jeremy Maclin
    WR Eli Rogers
    WR Chris Hogan
    RB Justin Forsett
    TE Gary Barnidge
    OT Charles Leno Jr
    G/C Justin Britt

    Edge Carlos Dunlap
    Int Michael Brockers
    Int Alan Branch
    Edge Tamba Hali
    LB James Harrison
    LB CJ Mosley
    LB Jerrell Freeman
    CB Prince Amukamara
    S Darian Stewart
    S Jahleel Addae
    CB Nevin Lawson

    CB Adam Jones
    CB Nickell Robey Coleman
    LB David Harris
    Edge Dante Fowler
    Int Malcolm Brown
    DL Mario Williams
    S Antoine Bethea
    Int Earl Mitchell

    Seoul Dragons

    QB Matt Ryan
    RB Charles Sims
    WR AJ Green
    WR Tyrell Williams
    Slot WR TY Hilton
    WR/TE Travis Kelce
    LT Donald Penn
    LG Rodger Saffold
    C Matt Paradis
    RG Alex Mack
    RT Ryan Schraeder

    Bench

    RB Spencer Ware
    RB Jay Ajayi
    WR Victor Cruz
    WR Sammy Watkins (Q)
    WR Robert Woods
    TE Zach Ertz
    TE Dennis Pitta
    G James Carpenter

    RE Elvis Dumervil
    DT Geno Atkins
    DT Gerald McCoy (Q)
    LE Melvin Ingram
    LB Jordan Hicks
    LB Ryan Shazier
    CB Jamar Taylor
    CB Terence Newman
    Slot CB Darius Butler
    Slot CB Ladarius Gunter
    S Isa Abdul-Quddus (Q)

    Bench

    DE Romeo Okwara
    DE Nick Perry (Q)
    DT RaShede Hageman
    DT Vincent Valentine
    LB Devon Kennard
    CB Tracy Porter
    S Mike Adams
    S Dwight Lowery
    Last edited by miamidolphin4life; 12-24-2016, 10:48 AM.

    Comment


    • #3
      Rome

      Offense

      Surprise! We are going with a traditional offense this week against a defense that will be expecting us to go into Air Raid mode. This will go for most of the first half, and perhaps into the second as our early down package as it should leave the Dragons scrambling on defense as they prepared for a heavy passing attack all week. I will also only use PFF against their LB corps this week for my PFF stats of the week and once for o line to keep that drivel to a minimum.

      We plan on lining up with two WR to the right of our formation, with Clay on the left, sometimes with Tolbert as an H-back next to him our of the pistol. We do this for multiple reasons. 1. With this formation, we will be able to tell instantly if Seoul is in man of zone coverage as the second corner will have to come over to guard Cooper in the slot. 2. If frees up the entire left side of the field for the running game (to be touched upon shortly). Three, it allows Cooper to use his route running for quick gains and screens if we recognize zone early. This offense allows for a lot of run pass options.

      We use this formation as the left side of the Dragons defense is simply lol against the run. Elvis Dumervil/Romeo Okwara are both very bad against the run. While Geno Atkins is a very good pass rusher, he is simply just average at stopping the run and Jordan Hicks is 62nd! In the NFL for LB at stopping the run graded by PFF. That is what we are going to run towards on most early plays until they stop us, which they might not be able to. Frank Gore has gotten hot again for indy rushing for 231 yards in the last three weeks with an average of 4.13 yards per carry behind what is one of the worst IRL offensive lines in the NFL. He does not have that problem here. Rome possesses one of the strongest o line groups in the BDL as all Every lineman we have starting for our team is in the top 8 at their respective positions as ranked by PFF. That is an awesome line!

      On the passing game, we will likely be targeting either gimpy Darius Slay or Darius Butler with Cooper early on in the game.

      We look to target Ryan Shazier early and often in the passing game. He is PFFS 67th ranked LB in terms of pass coverage and if you have ever watched a Steelers game. You know this to be true. If we see Seoul playing man (our formation will quickly let Carr determine this, then look for either Clay or Gore to flex out wide to get this desired one on one matchup. Clay has been coming on recently as well catching 70 yards last week with scores in back to back games. Moving one of these two also out wide on the left could also open up a lane to run (if its gore, tolbert is a capable plodder)

      This does not mean we do not have the ability to spread the field. We have five wide formations still available to test the likes of Tracy Porter or someone named Gaines with Eli Rogers who had a big game last week. Our third and fourth WR duo of Maclin and Hogan also presents interesting mis match problems versus some of the smaller slot corners for Seoul. We will be leaving Peters on an island in these wide sets and rotating our line to the right to account for McCoy and Ingram. We can have a RB chip in non five wide during passing downs if we feel an end is routinely beating us

      TL/DR: Attack vulnerable left side of Seoul with running attack . Use WR depth to challenge Seoul CB depth. Run the clock, keep the chains moving slowly but surely

      Defense

      Now, Seoul has an excellent group of names on their offensive side of the ball. Luckily, we have some matchups we actually like here as we have seen them throughout the year play out. I will explain them as you go through this section.

      We are unsure if Seoul is going to stay with the two TE or go into a three wide set with Janoris out this week. We have our base defense here for the two TE. Harrison will run off for a CB in the three wide.

      If there is two TE, expect us to play a heavy man defense with both our LB being amongst the best in the league in coverage. Seoul generally likes to keep their RB in in the two TE so Harrison will be responsible for the RB but will most of the time read him blocking and blitz or play middle zone. James has the veteran stamp of approval to do what he feels is best.

      The Seoul running game has sputtered as of late
      Jay Ajay i205 yards in last four weeks for an average of 50 yards a gain and a measly 2.97 yards per carry. In that same time period Spencer Ware has 218 yards and a 3.16 yard per carry average. Now while the interior of the Seoul line is very good, they are playing Alex Mack out of position (I do not care if they have had him there all year in BDL, we have no idea how he would be as a guard) and Roger Saffold is a below average BDL guard. With our meat wall in front, we should be able to put the clamps on the running game/

      For our pass rush...
      We move Tamba Hali into the starting lineup today. Three weeks ago matched up against Ryan Schrader and Matt Ryan, the Chiefs beat the Falcons due to its relentless pass rush. The rush was led by OLB Tamba Hali, who racked up a sack, a hit and three hurries, Carlos Dunlap lines up against Donald Penn who has been really good so that is not a place we expect to get a bunch of pressure. As we mentioned above, if there is two TE we have Harrison to blitz right up the gut towards the guards, mainly on Saffolds side. In passing situations, Earl Mitchell and Mario Williams move into the interior of the line to give us an added pass rush. Malcolm Brown gives and big boy a break on early downs while Folwer only rotates in when necessary for the edges. If Seoul goes three wide, expect a heavy dose of Harrison subbing in for the edges to keep all three fresh

      Adam Jones has recently been rounding into form. Last week, he was targeted by Big Ben six times and allowed only one catch for 16 yards He grabs Tyrell Williams when he is in the game as the third WR. After Darius Slay left the game last week, Nevin Lawson was responsible for OBJ and held him, to you guessed it, under 60 yards (two months running of no 60 yard receivers against him). The Lions foolishly moved him onto Shephard on the last drive which allowed Beckham to score against Asa Jackson. We feel that if Lawson can shut down OBJ, he should be able to handle a gimpy Watkins when we are in man coverage with a little help over the top. One of T.Y. Hiltons worst games of the season came way back in week four when Jacksonville locked him up against Prince Amukamara. Hilton has 4 catches for 42 yards that day In four wide, Nickell Robey Coleman provides a solid slot corner who has played surprisingly well according to PFF. We will be playing two deep safeties when we are in man. Freeman may be the best cover linebacker in football and he gets Kelce while Mosley would grab Ertz

      However, we are going to mix in zone a pretty solid amount. Like around a 40 percent clip. Mixing our coverages gives our corners a little break and makes Matty Ice have to decipher a defense. Ryan has had an up and down year (mostly up). However, the Falcons schedule has been somewhat light in terms of facing worthwhile defenses so the numbers could be a bit skewed. Or zones will go between the tampa two, cover two sink and a cover three cloud look

      While our defensive strategy may not completely shut down the Dragon high power offense, we feel we can hold them to kicking field goals instead of touchdowns when they get drives going/

      TL/DR: Use some one on one advantages. Mix in man and zone, blitz with Harrison in man and zone looks, rotate line to keep them fresh. Bend but dont break strategy

      Seoul

      Offense

      Just like us, Rome lost their #1 corner to an injury last week. It is especially unfortunate when we get back one of the 3 best receivers in the NFL on the field. Rome corners are its clear weakness and we want to take advantage of it.

      We will therefore look to move the ball principally through the air. How however will mainly depend on what the defense gives us. We will have our receivers run routes everywhere on the field, to give Matt Ryan the chance to pick the best option depending on the coverage scheme used by Rome. If Rome chooses zone coverage, look for underneath passes to AJ Green, TY Hilton or Victor Cruz as well as a bunch of targets to Travis Kelce and our RBs. If Rome chooses to double team TY and AJ, we will put them on the same side of the field and we will try to take deep shots to Tyrell Williams, Travis Kelce or Sammy Watkins (if he is healthy enough). If they blitz heavily, we will take our chances one-on-one with AJ Green versus Prince Amukamara or Nevin Lawson. Kelce has a tough matchup vs Freeman or Mosley, but we like him against anyone in individual coverage. We will often split him out wide to put the LB covering him in an uncomfortable situation

      As you can see we have given a multitude of players names. Indeed, we will heavily rotate our receivers to keep everyone fresh. TY Hilton will play close to 100% of the snaps. Depending on his health status, the same goes for AJ Green. After that, Kelce, Williams, Cruz, Watkins (if healthy) and even Woods will see the field, some (Kelce) obviously more than others (Woods). In this passing strategy, Sims and Ware are our main backs and see 50% of the snaps.

      For that strategy to work, Matt Ryan needs to have time to diagnose Rome coverage after the snap while going through his reads. Fortunately, we think we can have great protection in this one. Rome interior pass rush is nonexistent, which could allow us to slide our protection to a side if necessary. But we also think our tackles, both being top players at their position, will be able to keep Dunlap, Hali, Harrison and co in check. If Dunlap faces Schraeder, which is the only matchup we fear, we will give him help with a guard or a RB.

      Even though we have a strategy mainly built on our passing game, we will not to include some running plays. With a defense focused on the passing game, even more when Kelce is split out wide, we feel like when our backs get past the LoS, they are in for big yardage. Especially on draws against a defense bound to overpursue. If we have to bring more balance to hold on to a lead, Jay Ajayi becomes our main back.

      Tl;dr: pass-happy, read & react offense involving all our receivers and RBs.

      Defense:

      We feel really good about our offense is this one. Therefore, we want our D, especially with Slay out, off the field a lot. We want to stop the run, put pressure on Carr and make us beat him deep with two hobbled receivers.

      Our starting defense will have 2 LBs and a single high safety, but we will show a ton of different formations to confuse Carr. The safety, Abdul-Quddus, or Lowery if out, will play zone deep, his assignment rotating to keep Carr guessing. The linebackers are Hicks and Shazier, but they will rotate heavily with Kennard and Mike Adams at SS. They will be tasked to make Gore a non-factor, in the passing and the running game, and they will bring out the heat by blitzing heavily, or compensating CB/FS blitzes. They can also show blitz and drop back in the middle of the field to help our slot corners, or sometimes (and for Hicks and Adams only) get in man-to-man with one of the receivers when we have only 3 corners in the game. Once again, we will heavily rotate players and assignments to make us unpredictable.

      In man coverage, Newman gets Crabtree: he is our best corner and Crabtree is their best option to move the chains consistently, but he is not really a deep threat so Newman should be able to handle him. Taylor gets Hogan, which should be an ok matchup for him. In the slot, Butler gets Cooper: on paper it is a mismatch but Butler has been for years one of the top slot receivers in the NFL and has the experience at this position that Cooper does not necessarily have. If Cooper plays outside, then Butler gets Maclin. Gunter handles the other slot receiver, where he will do his best (it is fair to note that he has not been awful this year). When Barnidge, or another TE, plays, Gunter subs out for Mike Adams who plays in the box and gets Barnidge responsibilities. Obviously, when in man to man coverage with 5 or 6 blitzers, we expose ourselves to big plays and that is a risk we are willing to take, considering our offense is built to score. We also feel this is the best change to get turnovers and good field position for our offense.

      We will also mix in some zone coverage (25-30% of plays): cover 3 with slot corners dropping in the flats or Tampa 2 when we have 2 safeties in with Hicks as MLB and Shazier at WLB mainly. We also have a couple of zone blitzes designed with Ingram or Perry dropping in coverage. In zone, we will count on our defensive line to pressure Carr. Outside Okwara and Perry, if he is healthy enough, give a breather to Elvis and Ingram, but they will play the majority of the snaps given their recent form. Same goes inside with Hageman playing some snaps to rest a bit Geno and McCoy. In the outside scenario of McCoy being out, Hageman starts and Valentine rotates with him heavily. We like our matchups outside in the passing game and with Gore not being a particularly good outside runner at this stage of his career, we think they can be more aggressive than usual.

      Tl;dr: Stop the run, pressure Carr with strong DL and blitzes. 70% man, 30% zone, lots of rotation in players and assignments.
      Last edited by miamidolphin4life; 12-24-2016, 10:50 AM.

      Comment


      • #4
        We're sticking to our plan to start AJ Green btw. If the Bengals were in the playoffs, or competing for the PO, he'd play IRL. I'll respect anyone decision to consider him as out.
        CMD VI - Kansas City Chiefs

        Matt Ryan, Justin Houston, Muhammad Wilkerson, Jeremy Maclin, Trent Williams, Evan Mathis, Justin Forsett, Sam Shields, Max Unger, Kyle Fuller, Timmy Jernigan, Aaron Williams, Geoff Schwartz, Robert Woods, Sio Moore, Jelani Jenkins, Matt Slauson, Husain Abdullah, Glenn Dorsey, Scott Chandler, Jonathan Newsome, Taylor Gabriel, Mike DeVito, Cortland Finnegan, Nate Irving, Roy Helu Jr, Mike Mohamed, John Kuhn, Nickell Robey, Jacoby Jones, Danieal Manning, Donald Stephenson

        Comment


        • #5
          Partially torn tendon is the report as well as the hammy
          A mans reputation is what his friends say about him. His character is what his enemies say about him

          Live everyday as if it is your last, one day it will be

          Life has defining moments, define the moment or the moment will define you

          Ask yourself if you would feel comfortable giving your 2 best friends keys to your house. If not, find new best friends

          Dont trust a women who doesn't close her eyes when you kiss her

          Comment


          • #6
            Also these games are at neutral sites so I'm not actually at Seoul
            A mans reputation is what his friends say about him. His character is what his enemies say about him

            Live everyday as if it is your last, one day it will be

            Life has defining moments, define the moment or the moment will define you

            Ask yourself if you would feel comfortable giving your 2 best friends keys to your house. If not, find new best friends

            Dont trust a women who doesn't close her eyes when you kiss her

            Comment


            • #7
              Looks like Ted gave me a Christmas present not using Ajayi and splitting touches with Spencer Ware and the bucs third string rb
              A mans reputation is what his friends say about him. His character is what his enemies say about him

              Live everyday as if it is your last, one day it will be

              Life has defining moments, define the moment or the moment will define you

              Ask yourself if you would feel comfortable giving your 2 best friends keys to your house. If not, find new best friends

              Dont trust a women who doesn't close her eyes when you kiss her

              Comment


              • #8
                Originally posted by bcb1213 View Post
                Looks like Ted gave me a Christmas present not using Ajayi and splitting touches with Spencer Ware and the bucs third string rb
                Didn't even realize he was starting Charles Sims. Weird.

                Comment


                • #9
                  Originally posted by bcb1213 View Post
                  Looks like Ted gave me a Christmas present not using Ajayi and splitting touches with Spencer Ware and the bucs third string rb
                  Your Christmas gift was to put Maclin on the bench for Mike Tolbert. We both have the XMas spirit!
                  CMD VI - Kansas City Chiefs

                  Matt Ryan, Justin Houston, Muhammad Wilkerson, Jeremy Maclin, Trent Williams, Evan Mathis, Justin Forsett, Sam Shields, Max Unger, Kyle Fuller, Timmy Jernigan, Aaron Williams, Geoff Schwartz, Robert Woods, Sio Moore, Jelani Jenkins, Matt Slauson, Husain Abdullah, Glenn Dorsey, Scott Chandler, Jonathan Newsome, Taylor Gabriel, Mike DeVito, Cortland Finnegan, Nate Irving, Roy Helu Jr, Mike Mohamed, John Kuhn, Nickell Robey, Jacoby Jones, Danieal Manning, Donald Stephenson

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Originally posted by TedLavie View Post

                    Your Christmas gift was to put Maclin on the bench for Mike Tolbert. We both have the XMas spirit!
                    That's Mike" as many rushing yards as your starting hb the last two weeks" Tolbert to you sir. He's mainly blitz pickup which looks like the right strategy for your defense
                    A mans reputation is what his friends say about him. His character is what his enemies say about him

                    Live everyday as if it is your last, one day it will be

                    Life has defining moments, define the moment or the moment will define you

                    Ask yourself if you would feel comfortable giving your 2 best friends keys to your house. If not, find new best friends

                    Dont trust a women who doesn't close her eyes when you kiss her

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Originally posted by bcb1213 View Post

                      That's Mike" as many rushing yards as your starting hb the last two weeks" Tolbert to you sir. He's mainly blitz pickup which looks like the right strategy for your defense
                      That may be me but I see nowhere in your writeup that Mike Tolbert is blitz pickup. Plus please take as many corners out of my lineup for S/

                      And of course I didn't start Sims for his rushing abilities. Indeed, I stated that, when it's time to run the ball, Jay Ajayi gets the carries. But since he is not yet a factor in the passing game, it maid no sense to start him given my strategy.
                      CMD VI - Kansas City Chiefs

                      Matt Ryan, Justin Houston, Muhammad Wilkerson, Jeremy Maclin, Trent Williams, Evan Mathis, Justin Forsett, Sam Shields, Max Unger, Kyle Fuller, Timmy Jernigan, Aaron Williams, Geoff Schwartz, Robert Woods, Sio Moore, Jelani Jenkins, Matt Slauson, Husain Abdullah, Glenn Dorsey, Scott Chandler, Jonathan Newsome, Taylor Gabriel, Mike DeVito, Cortland Finnegan, Nate Irving, Roy Helu Jr, Mike Mohamed, John Kuhn, Nickell Robey, Jacoby Jones, Danieal Manning, Donald Stephenson

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Originally posted by TedLavie View Post

                        That may be me but I see nowhere in your writeup that Mike Tolbert is blitz pickup. Plus please take as many corners out of my lineup for S/

                        And of course I didn't start Sims for his rushing abilities. Indeed, I stated that, when it's time to run the ball, Jay Ajayi gets the carries. But since he is not yet a factor in the passing game, it maid no sense to start him given my strategy.
                        Well seeing he's not going out in routes, I suppose he just gonna stand there and do nothing amirite.

                        If we are going straight write up for our stuff. Enjoy throwing to inactive guy and Ajayi only in if you have the lead
                        A mans reputation is what his friends say about him. His character is what his enemies say about him

                        Live everyday as if it is your last, one day it will be

                        Life has defining moments, define the moment or the moment will define you

                        Ask yourself if you would feel comfortable giving your 2 best friends keys to your house. If not, find new best friends

                        Dont trust a women who doesn't close her eyes when you kiss her

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          I sort of agree with bcb where you can't put EVERYTHING in the write up, because you'd be writing all day. You need to highlight keys.

                          Conversely, I'l never get behind, "we're throwing out this lineup, but whoever plays a better game IRL will come in and play more."
                          Last edited by JLash; 12-25-2016, 08:11 PM.

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Originally posted by JLash View Post
                            I sort of agree with bcb where you can't put EVERYTHING in the write up, because you'd be writing all day. You need to highlight keys.

                            Conversely, I'l never get behind, "we're throwing out this lineup, but whoever plays a better game IRL will come in and play more."
                            No but assignments like blitz pickups should be in. Also bcb since Shazier isn't on Clay does he also stay in line and block? Because it sounds like he is only used to target Shazier.

                            Don't get me wrong Bcb you're one of our best owners. But you tend to confuse gameplans with pleas about how you're team is great. And you can't just make up staff after the fact.
                            CMD VI - Kansas City Chiefs

                            Matt Ryan, Justin Houston, Muhammad Wilkerson, Jeremy Maclin, Trent Williams, Evan Mathis, Justin Forsett, Sam Shields, Max Unger, Kyle Fuller, Timmy Jernigan, Aaron Williams, Geoff Schwartz, Robert Woods, Sio Moore, Jelani Jenkins, Matt Slauson, Husain Abdullah, Glenn Dorsey, Scott Chandler, Jonathan Newsome, Taylor Gabriel, Mike DeVito, Cortland Finnegan, Nate Irving, Roy Helu Jr, Mike Mohamed, John Kuhn, Nickell Robey, Jacoby Jones, Danieal Manning, Donald Stephenson

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Speaking of madeup stuff. Schreader was on Houston in the ATL KC game. Hali went off when Matthews went down and some crappy backup came in. Totally irrelevant to our game
                              Last edited by TedLavie; 12-26-2016, 02:41 AM.
                              CMD VI - Kansas City Chiefs

                              Matt Ryan, Justin Houston, Muhammad Wilkerson, Jeremy Maclin, Trent Williams, Evan Mathis, Justin Forsett, Sam Shields, Max Unger, Kyle Fuller, Timmy Jernigan, Aaron Williams, Geoff Schwartz, Robert Woods, Sio Moore, Jelani Jenkins, Matt Slauson, Husain Abdullah, Glenn Dorsey, Scott Chandler, Jonathan Newsome, Taylor Gabriel, Mike DeVito, Cortland Finnegan, Nate Irving, Roy Helu Jr, Mike Mohamed, John Kuhn, Nickell Robey, Jacoby Jones, Danieal Manning, Donald Stephenson

                              Comment

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