I need your help!!!!

[Walter]

Check out the opening paragraph of the Bengals-49ers.

I'm Eli Manning.

I can pick with the best of them in August, September, October and early November.

But once the leaves change color, I throw 5 INTs per week (i.e. get 10+ games wrong). I did this last year, and I'm doing it again.

Here are the games, trends, Vegas, psychologies, etc.:

http://walterfootball.com/picks.php

Post your 3 best plays and why.

[Matt McGuire]

Walter, Gruden named Jeff Garcia the starter against the Falcons.

[Walter]

Cool.

What do you think about TB-ATL?

[Matt McGuire]

I have a hard time betting against the Patriots since they just hate the Jets so much...I like the over in that game as well since the Patriots will probably score 37+ points.

I like Kansas City +4. Tennessee is overrated.

Seahawks are playing really good right now. I thought they would be more like -9.

[Matt McGuire]

No spread has been posted yet, but my line is Tampa -12.5

[Walter]

Yeah it's -11.5

[Walter]

I'm liking Tampa... The Falcons look like they're packing it in, and the Bucs can wrap up the division with a win.

[Matt McGuire]

I'm liking Tampa... The Falcons look like they're packing it in, and the Bucs can wrap up the division with a win.

Bucs winning the division has nothing to do with it...player to player they are just a more talented team than atlanta, Tampa is a much faster team than Atlanta.

[Walter]

Bucs winning the division has nothing to do with it...player to player they are just a more talented team than atlanta, Tampa is a much faster team than Atlanta.

Yeah, but that's why they're favored by 11.5. The player disparity produced the high spread. You're not picking a straight-up winner.

[Matt McGuire]

Oh I know...and I would take Tampa -11.5 in a heartbeat.