Question for Walter on the Super Bowl spread

[Matt McGuire]

I am with you on the Giants covering, but doesn't the huge vegas edge of 85% of the bets placed on NYG turn your bet around to the Pats?

I mean I cashed out my online bankroll until the next college football season starts, but I was just wondering what you think on this. I just don't understand why:

1. The spread hasn't gone down to -10 or -9.5.
2. Betting the Giants is a good bet considering the public action is 85% on them?
3. How much does that huge Vegas edge affect your pick...or any pick in this matter? I've read the FAQs but I think this is a somewhat different scenario when like you said NE hasn't covered since Nov. 18.

[Walter]

Well Vegas has compensated for the line, moving it from 14 down to 11.5 in some places, so that tells me they anticipated more NE action when they opened it up. So, they want more equal action on the game...

We have to see what the % is by Friday. If it's still high on the Giants, NE might be the right side. I expect it to level out by then.

[Walter]

BTW Matt I sent you an e-mail

[Matt McGuire]

Got it, also I'll send you my new mock in the next hour.

[candyman82]

Cool, a new MM (Matt Mock)

[49ersfan]

Yay, new mock.

[Matt McGuire]

Yeah I already sent it

[49ersfan]

Deleted your extra posts candyman.

[candyman82]

thanks