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  • Todd McFraud mock update ... loser

    It didn't take long for free agency to render my last mock draft useless. But now that the movement of big-name veteran players has settled down a bit, it's naturally time to mock it up again.


    Several deserving prospects got the stiff-arm in Round 1 this time around because of all the changes in team needs based on free-agent departures and acquisitions. The seven players below carry similar or better grades than some who are included in this first-round projection.

    • Brian Brohm, QB, Louisville
    • Mario Manningham, WR, Michigan
    • Early Doucet, WR Louisiana St
    • Fred Davis, TE, USC
    • Felix Jones, RB, Arkansas
    • Lawrence Jackson, DE, USC


    Brohm is a mid-to-late first round talent who could slip to Round 2 if a team isn't willing to trade up for him. Manningham, who is my fourth-rated receiver behind Malcolm Kelly, Limas Sweed and DeSean Jackson, could fall out of the first round due to his 40-yard dash times. Similar to Chad Johnson in 2001, Manningham will quickly become one of the steals of the 2008 class.


    1. Miami Dolphins -- Matt Ryan, QB, Boston College
    Record: 1-15 | Needs: CB, OT, QB, WR, DE, S, LB
    Previous mock selection: Same
    Yes, I'm well aware that DE Chris Long has become the trendy selection for the Dolphins at No. 1 overall. Although Chris Long is certainly worthy -- as is OT Jake Long -- I'm sticking with Matt Ryan until more definitive information becomes available regarding Miami's assessment of John Beck as its potential franchise quarterback moving forward.


    2. St. Louis Rams -- Chris Long, DE, Virginia
    Record: 3-13 | Needs: DE, WR, C/G, OLB, CB
    Previous mock selection: Same
    Chris Long has to be the Rams' best-case scenario at No. 2 overall. Long is not a prototypical edge-rusher, but he's a disruptive force in all facets of the game. He possesses rare versatility and a motor that never quits. Long would be an excellent complement at left end opposite the speedy Leonard Little, who recently reworked his contract.


    3. Atlanta Falcons -- Glenn Dorsey, DT, LSU
    Record: 4-12 | Needs: QB, DT, OT, G, TE
    Previous mock selection: Jake Long, OT, Michigan
    Ryan should be the Falcons' selection if he's available. If not, it will be a difficult decision between Dorsey and Jake Long. The team has needs at both positions, as well as many others, so it really can't go wrong in that regard. Assuming Dorsey gets a clean bill of health, he seems to be the direction the team is headed. Dorsey is the type of impact defender the Falcons are looking to build their defense around.


    4. Oakland Raiders -- Sedrick Ellis, DT, USC
    Record: 4-12 | Needs: DT/DE, WR, OT, G/C, OLB
    Previous mock selection: Glenn Dorsey, DT, LSU
    The re-signing of Tommy Kelly gives the Raiders two good defensive linemen -- with Derrick Burgess being the other -- but the ideal plan is to play Kelly at end. Retaining Kelly certainly frees the team up to go in a different direction with this pick (RB Darren McFadden), but it does not eliminate Ellis (or Dorsey, if available) from the discussion. Ellis, who notched 58 tackles and 8.5 sacks as a senior at USC, could solve many problems for this unit.


    5. Kansas City Chiefs -- Jake Long, OT, Michigan
    Record: 4-12 | Needs: OT, CB, QB, G/C, WR, RB
    Previous mock selection: Ryan Clady, OT, Boise State
    The Chiefs' 2008 draft pretty much hinges on Long's availability at No. 5. Needless to say, this is the dream scenario for Executive VP/Assistant GM Carl Peterson, head coach Herm Edwards and the rest of Kansas City front office.


    6. New York Jets -- Darren McFadden, RB, Arkansas
    Record: 4-12 | Needs: DE, CB, WR, LB, RB
    Projected pick: Same
    The Jets have spent a bundle of cash targeting needs in free agency, which frees the organization from being handcuffed to any particular position with this pick. Arguments can be made for and against both McFadden and DE/OLB Vernon Gholston. From my perspective, Gholston's recent workout times might have sent his draft stock soaring but on film he disappears in too many games. He flashes elite talent and belongs in the top 10, but I could not rationalize taking him ahead of McFadden if needs are not a driving force in the equation.


    7. N.E. Patriots (from 5-11 S.F.) -- Vernon Gholston, DE, Ohio State
    Record: 16-0 | Needs: ILB, CB, OLB, ROT/G, S
    Previous mock selection: Same
    Gholston would seem like a natural fit as an outside linebacker in the Patriots' 3-4 scheme. Assuming Gholston is ready to contribute immediately, Mike Vrabel could move back to inside linebacker in order to stabilize the interior.


    8. Baltimore Ravens -- Ryan Clady, OT, Boise State
    Record: 5-11 | Needs: QB, CB, OT, OLB/DE, WR
    Previous mock selection: Leodis McKelvin, CB, Troy
    The Ravens are one of the wild cards in the top 10. They will take the best available talent even if he doesn't fit a need, and odds are none of the available players at their need positions will be worthy of the eighth overall pick. An argument could be made for one of the top cornerback prospects here, but Clady carries a better grade, in my opinion, than any corner in this class, and he possesses the combination of size and feet to potentially take over for perennial Pro Bowler Jonathan Ogden.


    9. Cincinnati Bengals -- Keith Rivers, OLB, USC
    Record: 7-9 | Needs: DT, TE, LB, S, DE
    Previous mock selection: Sedrick Ellis, DT, USC
    The team is starving for defensive playmakers. Defensive tackle is the Bengals' biggest need, but there's no DT prospect worth selecting here if Dorsey and Ellis are off the board. The Bengals are unsettled at outside linebacker and Rivers has emerged as far-and-away the top prospect at that position in the 2008 class. He is a complete linebacker with a very good combination of size, quickness, power and toughness. He also plays with an excellent motor and could quickly emerge as a much-needed leader for this unit.


    10. New Orleans Saints -- Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie, CB, Tenn. St.
    Record: 6-9 | Needs: CB, DT, TE, LB, WR
    Previous mock selection: Keith Rivers, OLB, USC
    Rodgers-Cromartie is one of the fastest rising prospects in the 2008 class right now. The small-school product stood up to the big boys at the Senior Bowl, and then wowed scouts a few weeks later with one of the smoothest workouts of any DB at the combine.


    11. Buffalo Bills -- Leodis McKelvin, CB, Troy
    Record: 7-9 | Needs: WR, CB, TE, DE, OT/OG
    Previous mock selection: Malcolm Kelly, WR, Oklahoma
    The Bills need a big receiver but there's enough depth in this year's class to address that need later. The wise play with the 11th pick is to secure an elite cover corner like McKelvin, who also brings explosive return ability to the table, and then go after a big, playmaking wideout like Indiana's James Hardy in Round 2.


    12. Denver Broncos -- Chris Williams, OT, Vanderbilt
    Record: 7-9 | Needs: DT, OT, LB, WR, CB/RS
    Previous mock selection: Same
    The Broncos ranked 28th in scoring defense and 30th in rushing defense last year, which explains the free-agent additions of linebacker Boss Bailey and safeties Marquand Manuel and Marlon McCree. Finding an upgrade at defensive tackle is the next priority, but Dorsey and Ellis are off the board and it's too early to take North Carolina's Kentwan Balmer. The Broncos can at least use the pick to solidify the offensive line with Williams, then target a DT like Auburn's Pat Sims in Round 2.


    13. Carolina Panthers -- Jeff Otah, OT, Pittsburgh
    Record: 7-9 | Needs: ROT, FS, WR, TE, RB, DE
    Previous mock selection: Derrick Harvey, DE, Florida
    Otah, a massive right tackle prospect with loads of potential, is ideally suited for Carolina's power-running game. The Nigerian-born, 339-pounder could potentially serve as the final piece to a Panthers' offensive line attempting to shuffle all five starting spots after last year's injury-riddled season. Defensive ends Derrick Harvey and Phillip Merling are also possibilities with this pick.


    14. Chicago Bears -- Rashard Mendenhall, RB, Illinois
    Record: 7-9 | Needs: OT, QB, RB, OG, WR
    Previous mock selection: Same
    Local product or not, spending a first-round pick on a running back for the second time in four years would be a tough pill to swallow. But the Bears have done nothing to address the situation during free agency, and the well has run dry at this point when it comes to top offensive tackle talent. In addition to his size, burst and versatility, Mendenhall would provide a level of toughness that the Chicago ground game lacked with Cedric Benson as the primary ball-carrier in 2007.


    15. Detroit Lions -- Derrick Harvey, DE, Florida
    Record: 7-9 | Needs: ROT, LB, RB, DT, DE
    Projected pick: Jeff Otah, OT, Pittsburgh
    This is a tough scenario for the Lions, who would like to add one of the top four offensive tackles in the draft. And although Oregon's Jonathan Stewart would be an upgrade at running back, the team doesn't appear headed in that direction after inking a one-year with Tatum Bell, who will compete with Kevin Jones and Brian Calhoun for carries. Instead, Harvey seems like a sensible choice. He is not as explosive as his former teammate Jarvis Moss, who was selected 17th overall by the Broncos last year, but Harvey is a more complete player who should eventually emerge as an impact every-down starter in the NFL. And he would immediately upgrade Detroit's mediocre crop of defensive ends that includes Jared DeVries and Dewayne White.




    16. Arizona Cardinals -- Aqib Talib, CB, Kansas
    Record: 8-8 | Needs: CB (FS), RB, LOT, DE, WR
    Previous mock selection: Same
    It would be tough to pass on Stewart here because his versatility and big-play potential would complement current RB Edgerrin James very well. The 2008 running back crop is extremely deep, however. So the smart play is to grab one of the premier defensive backs before the well dries up at that position. Talib tends to gamble a bit, but teams have to like his versatility and playmaking skills as a 6-foot-1, 202-pound cornerback, return man and occasional wide receiver.


    17. Minnesota Vikings -- Phillip Merling, DE, Clemson
    Record: 8-8 | Needs: DE, CB, WR, QB, OT/OG
    Previous mock selection: Limas Sweed, WR, Texas
    Merling has an outstanding combination of size, quickness and power, which would make him a good fit in a rotation that includes Ray Edwards and Brian Robison in Minnesota.


    18. Houston Texans -- Jonathan Stewart*, RB, Oregon
    Record: 8-8 | Needs: CB, RB, LOT, S, DE
    Previous mock selection: Same
    Houston has spent its last five first round picks on the defensive side of the ball -- and it could easily be six of the Texans opt for a cornerback like Mike Jenkins -- but Stewart is too talented to pass on considering Houston's current running back situation. Aging veteran Ahman Green is best suited in a rotation at this point in his career while Darius Walker and Chris Taylor are nothing more than solid reserves. Stewart has the bulk, burst and versatility to immediately emerge as a difference-maker in the No. 2 role, while also providing a boost in the kickoff return game.


    19. Philadelphia Eagles -- Malcolm Kelly, WR, Oklahoma
    Record: 8-8 | Needs: WR, S, LB, OT/OG, DE
    Previous mock selection: Phillip Merling, DE, Clemson
    The Eagles have steered away from first-round receivers since the Freddie Mitchell fiasco, but they have struck out during free agency and may have the pick of the litter come April 26th. Kelly has yet to workout due to a lingering hamstring injury, which could certainly cause him to slip if it's not completely healed by draft weekend. But assuming he's healthy, Kelly is a fluid athlete with outstanding size and arguably the strongest hands of any receiver in this class.


    20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers -- DeSean Jackson, WR/RS, California
    Record: 9-7 | Needs: WR (RS), CB, LOT, DT, DE
    Previous mock selection: Same
    Sure, Jackson has limitations at 5-10, 169 pounds, but he's the fastest and most dangerous open-field weapon this class has to offer. If Jackson gets with a creative offensive coach like Tampa's Jon Gruden at the next level, he could emerge as versatile home run threat


    21. Washington Redskins -- Limas Sweed, WR, Texas
    Record: 9-7 | Needs: WR, S, DE, OT, DT
    Previous mock selection: Devin Thomas, WR, Michigan State
    The Redskins top priority is to add a playmaker at wide receiver. There projects to be a run of wide receivers in the bottom half of the first round, so the Redskins should get involved here before they get shut out. Sweed has been bothered by a nagging wrist injury but has an impressive blend of speed and size.


    22. Dallas Cowboys (from 10-6 CLE) -- Mike Jenkins, CB, South Florida
    Record: 13-3 | Needs: CB, WR, RB, NT, G/C
    Previous mock selection: Same
    Assuming owner Jerry Jones doesn't package picks to trade up, expect Dallas to use its two picks to address needs at corner, receiver, offensive tackle and possibly running back. Jenkins' combination of size, speed and athleticism is outstanding and his recognition skills continue to improve each season. Jenkins also brings versatility to the table with his ability to play some safety and chip in on returns if necessary.


    23. Pittsburgh Steelers -- Branden Albert, G, Virginia
    Record: 10-6 | Needs: OC, OT, OG, DE (3-4), WR
    Previous mock selection: Same
    The Steelers are expected to invest multiple draft picks on offensive linemen. Albert is a massive guard with good feet and a finisher's mentality. Although most of his experience is at guard, he has the frame to give it a try at tackle if a team should so choose.


    24. Tennessee Titans -- Kentwan Balmer, DT, North Carolina
    Record: 10-6 | Needs: WR, DT, CB, G/C, LB
    Previous mock selection: Early Doucet, WR, LSU
    Titans QB Vince Young still needs lots of polishing as a passer and needs at least one perimeter weapon -- and no, Justin McCareins does not count. Considering Tennessee's recent draft trends, though, Young shouldn't hold his breath on Day 1. The last time Tennessee drafted a receiver in the first two rounds was 2003 (Tyrone Calico, second round) and the team hasn't spent a first-round selection on a wideout since Kevin Dyson in 1998. Balmer is a fast-rising prospect with very good size, power and quickness. He would be a nice complement to Albert Haynesworth on the inside.


    25. Seattle Seahawks -- Dustin Keller, TE, Purdue
    Record: 10-6 | Needs: TE, WR, DT, OL, RB
    Previous mock selection: Kentwan Balmer, DT, North Carolina
    Keller and USC's Fred Davis are neck-and-neck atop the tight-end board. Davis is a bigger, more complete prospect with very good overall athleticism, but Keller takes it to another level in terms of overall explosiveness. Keller will never be a good in-line blocker but very few H-backs display his potential to create mismatches in the passing game. Seattle is looking for a playmaker at that position, so don't be surprised if Keller sneaks off the board late in Round 1.


    26. Jacksonville Jaguars -- Calais Campbell, DE, Miami
    Record: 11-5 | Needs: DE, DT, DC/SS, OL, OLB
    Previous mock selection: Mario Manningham, WR, Michigan
    The Jaguars hope they addressed their wide receiver issues in free agency with the additions of Jerry Porter and Troy Williamson, which leaves the defensive line as the team's top draft priority early on.


    27. San Diego Chargers -- Brandon Flowers, CB, Virginia Tech
    Record: 11-5 | Needs: ROT, CB (No. 3), RB, S, NT
    Previous mock selection: Gosder Cherilus, OT, Boston College
    Offensive tackle is a strong possibility, especially with Cherilus still on the board, but the team lost its nickel corner in free agency and Flowers would be a good fit in that role. His stock is slipping due to poor workout numbers, but Flowers is a smooth cover corner with very good ball skills and instincts, which is why I think his production will end up far exceeding his draft value.


    28. Dallas Cowboys -- Devin Thomas, WR, Michigan State
    Record: 13-3 | Needs: CB, WR, RB, NT, OG/OC
    Previous mock selection: Felix Jones, RB, Arkansas
    If Jerry Jones can't strike a deal to move up, he could settle for Jones, the other first-round running back prospect from Arkansas. The better value, however, would be at wide receiver with either Thomas or Manningham. Despite his lack of ideal game experience, Thomas is higher on many boards because he's such a dynamic open-field runner for his size, both after the catch and in the return game.


    29. S.F. 49ers (from 13-3 IND) -- Gosder Cherilus, OT, Boston College
    Record: 5-11 | Needs: WR, OT, OLB, OG/OC, CB
    Previous mock selection: James Hardy, WR, Indiana
    Wide receiver is a need, but the 49ers can find a comparable prospect and better value early in Round 2. Cherilus is a right tackle prospect who struggled a bit playing on the left side as a senior. If he ends up in San Francisco he would move back to his more natural spot on the right side and allow the more athletic Joe Staley to move to left tackle.


    30. Green Bay Packers -- Kenny Phillips, S, Miami
    Record: 13-3 | Needs: CB, OT, S, TE, PT
    Previous mock selection: Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie, CB, Tennessee State
    The Packers would rather draft a cornerback, but they would settle for the top safety prospect in this year's weak crop. Phillips has the natural athleticism and can be a powerful hitter for his size. However, he needs good coaching to change his inconsistent ways.


    31. New England. Patriots -- Pick forfeited
    Record: 16-0 | Needs: ILB, CB, OLB, OL depth
    Previous mock selection: Same
    The Patriots lost this pick as part of the penalty handed down for illegally taping Jets coaches from the sideline in Week 1.


    32. New York Giants -- Jerod Mayo, OLB, Tennessee
    Record: 10-6 | Needs: OLB, S, CB, OG/OT, DT
    Previous mock selection: Dan Connor, LB, Penn State
    The Giants are in need of a legitimate upgrade at linebacker and Mayo possesses just the type of athleticism and versatility to find a nice niche within this unit.
    2014-2015 Kentucky Wildcats (38-1)

    Congrats to Wisconsin. Even more congrats to UK haters.


  • #2
    I'm sick of this McFadden talk. Jets have 3 RBs don't need another. Another OLB is what they need. Bryan Thomas sucks.
    WalterFootball.com Forum Moderator




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    • #3
      True but I think McFadden is still an option...like you I'm leaning with Gholston.

      Why is McShay a loser? I had to bolt back to work but like 4-5 picks he flip flopped on and he just goes in no detail why because he is wrong all the time. Will I change my picks? Yes, but to show an alternative mock in the range of the pick. I don't feel any differently about my previous mock picks other than player stock changes and FA/trade acquisitions that affect need.
      2014-2015 Kentucky Wildcats (38-1)

      Congrats to Wisconsin. Even more congrats to UK haters.

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      • #4
        Originally posted by Matt McGuire View Post
        True but I think McFadden is still an option...like you I'm leaning with Gholston.

        Why is McShay a loser? I had to bolt back to work but like 4-5 picks he flip flopped on and he just goes in no detail why because he is wrong all the time. Will I change my picks? Yes, but to show an alternative mock in the range of the pick. I don't feel any differently about my previous mock picks other than player stock changes and FA/trade acquisitions that affect need.
        ...and that's why you and Walter are much better at this job than McShay.
        WalterFootball.com Forum Moderator




        Siena NFL ATS Record(TBD)
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        • #5
          Originally posted by vbsiena24 View Post
          ...and that's why you and Walter are much better at this job than McShay.
          Exactly. But I must say that it actually is a rather decent draft coming from McShay...
          Forgive me I'm Swedish!

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          • #6
            McFraud does suck, but that one was half decent.

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            • #7
              Originally posted by Matt McGuire View Post
              1. Miami Dolphins -- Matt Ryan, QB, Boston College
              Horrible pick. They aren't taking Ryan. When will McFraud flip flop to Chris Long?


              Originally posted by Matt McGuire View Post
              4. Oakland Raiders -- Sedrick Ellis, DT, USC
              Horrible pick. It isn't about what makes the most sense to you, it is about what will Al Davis do. He's not passing on Darren McFadden's 4.27. Fawgettaboutit

              Originally posted by Matt McGuire View Post
              8. Baltimore Ravens -- Ryan Clady, OT, Boise State
              Horrilble pick. They have Jared Gaither at LT, no way they go here. Just Todd McShay again not reading depth charts and doing a lazy job imo.

              Originally posted by Matt McGuire View Post
              12. Denver Broncos -- Chris Williams, OT, Vanderbilt
              I believe I was wrong that the Broncos would go with LT before, I forgot about Ryan Harris, but it could still happen. I don't like this pick.

              Again my main criticism with McShay is how much creativitiy he lacks in his mocks. He doesn't go out on a limb ONCE in this mock draft. Not once. Always the consensus BPA at a position of need and every real NFL Draft has 4-5 shocker picks in the first round. I hate Todd McShay...seriously
              2014-2015 Kentucky Wildcats (38-1)

              Congrats to Wisconsin. Even more congrats to UK haters.

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              • #8
                You know in almost every single mock I've seen I've accepted whoever was "selected" by my Hawks, but this pick kinda pissed me off. Granted, I really like Dustin Keller, maybe because we have the same first name, but I don't think he will be anywhere close to the best available player at any of our need areas in the first round. He's also a guy who I think will be available at our spot in the 2nd anyway.

                DAK
                "I'm coming for you Murdock"

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                • #9
                  Yeah but drafting reaches and picks that don't make sense happen every year.
                  2014-2015 Kentucky Wildcats (38-1)

                  Congrats to Wisconsin. Even more congrats to UK haters.

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                  • #10
                    That one was too far fetched for me to swallow...and no comments from you f'ing pervs either...

                    DAK
                    "I'm coming for you Murdock"

                    sigpic

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                    • #11
                      Lol I didn't think about a comment or notice I could throw one in until you brought it up.

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                      • #12
                        You're way too clean cut to hang out with me man, lol. I would have jumped on that in about 2 seconds. But then again, I have the mindset of a 5 y/o.

                        DAK
                        "I'm coming for you Murdock"

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                        • #13
                          Originally posted by Dumb Azz Kracka View Post
                          That one was too far fetched for me to swallow...and no comments from you f'ing pervs either...

                          DAK
                          A bad pick for sure. That said, he is hot and rising up draft boards.

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                          • #14
                            Well, like I said in my first post I'm definitely a fan of the guy and would actually LOVE it if my Hawks picked him...just not in the first round. We have way too many pressing needs to be reaching for any player....especially when I think there will be a hand full of guys rated higher than him at our need positions.

                            DAK
                            "I'm coming for you Murdock"

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                            • #15
                              Originally posted by Dumb Azz Kracka View Post
                              Well, like I said in my first post I'm definitely a fan of the guy and would actually LOVE it if my Hawks picked him...just not in the first round. We have way too many pressing needs to be reaching for any player....especially when I think there will be a hand full of guys rated higher than him at our need positions.

                              DAK
                              IDK about your "many needs" statement. RB isn't a need anymore, and neither is OT. That said, Davis would still be the pick IMO if you went TE.

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