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  • SmithGT Picks

    Sunday 1:00

    Washington Redskins at Pittsburgh Steelers
    Vegas Line: Steelers by 4.5
    Pick: Steelers (0 units)
    Result: Redskins 12, Steelers 27 (Correct, 0 Units)

    Seattle Seahawks at Detroit Lions
    Vegas Line: Lions by 2.5
    Pick: Lions (0 units)
    Result: Seahawks 24, Lions 28 (Correct, 0 Units)

    Carolina Panthers at Chicago Bears
    Vegas Line: Bears by 7.5
    Panthers (2 units)
    Result: Panthers 22, Bears 23 (Correct, +2 Units)

    New England Patriots vs St. Louis Rams
    Vegas Line: Patriots by 7
    Pick: Patriots (0 units)
    Result: Patriots 45, Rams 7 (Correct, 0 Units)

    Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans
    Vegas Line: Titans by 3.5
    Pick: Colts (1 units)
    Result: Colts 19, Titans 13 (Correct, +1 Units)

    Jacksonville Jaguars at Green Bay Packers
    Vegas Line: Packers by 14.5
    Pick: Packers (0 units)
    Result: Jaguars 15, Packers 24 (Incorrect, 0 Units)

    San Diego Chargers at Cleveland Browns
    Vegas Line: Chargers by 3
    Pick: Chargers (1 units)
    Result: Chargers 6, Browns 7 (Incorrect, -1.1 Units)

    Atlanta Falcons at Philadelphia Eagles
    Vegas Line: Eagles by 3
    Pick: Falcons (0 units)
    Result: Falcons 30, Eagles 17 (Correct, 0 Units)

    Miami Dolphins at New York Jets
    Vegas Line: Jets by 2.5
    Pick: Jets (0 units)
    Result: Dolphins 30, Jets 9 (Incorrect, 0 Units)

    Sunday 4:00

    Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs
    Vegas Line: Chiefs by 1
    Pick: Raiders (0 units)
    Result: Raiders 26, Chiefs 16 (Correct, 0 Units)

    New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys
    Vegas Line: Giants by 2
    Pick: Giants (2 units)
    Result: Giants 29, Cowboys 24 (Correct, +2 Units)

    Sunday 8:30

    New Orleans Saints at Denver Broncos
    Vegas Line: Broncos by 6
    Pick: Saints (3 units)
    Result: Saints 14, Broncos 34 (Incorrect, -3.3 Units)

    Monday 8:40

    San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals
    Vegas Line: 49ers by 7
    Pick: 49ers (1 units)
    Result: 49ers 24, Cardinals 3 (Correct, +1 Units)

  • #2
    2012 Overall: 9-4
    2012 Bets: 4-2 (+1.6 Units)


    Week 8 Overall: 9-4
    Week 8 Bets: 4-2 (+1.6 Units)





    Week 8 was up and down for me. I was looking at a good profit going into the primetime games and feeling confident. If you would have told me that the Denver Broncos defense would hold Drew Brees to just over 200 yards passing, I would have thought you were crazy. I fully expected this game to be a shootout, but only Peyton Manning would find his groove. This dropped my winnings by 3.3 units. I was able to gain 1 unit back on MNF when the 49ers proved they are one of the top teams in the NFL. Profitable week, can't complain.

    What I learned:
    - Stafford is improving... maybe... He looked pretty good against a tough Seahawks defense.
    - Trent Richardson is fully recovered from the rib injury and continues to bulldoze anyone in his path.
    - Packers are up and down. Close game against the Jaguars without MJD at Lambeau.
    - Sanchez and Vick are on the hot seat. Romo isn't far behind. Give Tebow the starting job already. Why else did they bring him to NY?
    - RGIII is the real deal... if his receivers could catch.
    - Saints D is bad. Nothing new there.

    That's all for this week!
    Last edited by SmithGT; 11-06-2012, 06:53 PM.

    Comment


    • #3
      Thursday 8:30

      Kansas City Chiefs at San Diego Chargers
      Vegas Line: Chargers by 8
      Pick: Chiefs (0 units)
      Result: Chiefs 13, Chargers 31 (Incorrect, 0 units)

      Sunday 1:00


      Denver Broncos at Cincinnati Bengals
      Vegas Line: Broncos by 3.5
      SILVER Pick: Broncos (2 units)
      Result: Broncos 31, Bengals 23 (Correct, +2 units)

      Arizona Cardinals at Green Bay Packers
      Vegas Line: Packers by 10
      Pick: Packers (0 units)
      Result: Cardinals 17, Packers 31 (Correct, 0 units)

      Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts
      Vegas Line: Dolphins by 2.5
      Pick: Colts (0 units)
      Result: Dolphins 20, Colts 23 (Correct, 0 units)

      Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns
      Vegas Line: Ravens by 3.5
      Pick: Browns (0 units)
      Result: Ravens 25, Browns 15 (Incorrect, 0 units)

      Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans
      Vegas Line: Texans by 10
      Pick: Texans (1 units)
      Result: Bills 9, Texans 21 (Correct, +1 units)

      Carolina Panthers at Washington Redskins
      Vegas Line: Redskins by 3
      Pick: Redskins (0 units)
      Result: Panthers 21, Redskins 13 (Incorrect, 0 units)

      Detroit Lions at Jacksonville Jaguars
      Vegas Line: Lions by 3.5
      GOLD Pick: Lions (3 units)
      Result: Lions 31, Jaguars 14 (Correct, +3 units)

      Chicago Bears at Tennessee Titans
      Vegas Line: Bears by 3.5
      Pick: Bears (1 units)
      Result: Bears 51, Titans 20 (Correct, +1 units)

      Sunday 4:00

      Minnesota Vikings at Seattle Seahawks
      Vegas Line: Seahawks by 4
      Pick: Seahawks (0 units)
      Result: Vikings 20, Seahawks 30 (Correct, 0 units)

      Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Oakland Raiders
      Vegas Line: Raiders by 1.5
      BRONZE Pick: Buccaneers (2 units)
      Result: Buccaneers 42, Raiders 32 (Correct +2 units)

      Pittsburgh Steelers at New York Giants
      Vegas Line: Giants by 3
      Pick: Giants (0 units)
      Result: Steelers 24, Giants 20 (Incorrect, 0 units)

      Sunday 8:30


      Dallas Cowboys at Atlanta Falcons
      Vegas Line: Falcons by 3.5
      Pick: Falcons (1 units)
      Result: Cowboys 13, Falcons 19 (Correct, +1 units)

      Monday 8:30

      Philadelphia Eagles at New Orleans Saints
      Vegas Line: Saints by 3
      Pick: Saints (0 units)
      Result: Eagles 13, Saints 28 (Correct, 0 units)
      Last edited by SmithGT; 11-10-2012, 08:33 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        2012 Overall: 19-8
        2012 Money Games: 10-2 (+11.6 units)


        Week 9 Overall: 10-4
        Week 9 Money Games: 6-0 (+10 units)






        I reached the perfect 1.000 mark for week 9. Lead it off with a home run on my Gold pick as the Lions easily handled the Jags behind 3 TD's from Leshoure. Followed that up with a successful Silver pick as the Broncos managed to hang on in a tough game against the Bengals with Manning proving he still has the ability to take control of a game in the 4th quarter. Last but not least, my Bronze pick ended in a high-scoring game in Oakland where the Bucs won on the back of rookie Doug Martin aka "Muscle Hamster" who had a record-setting day.
        The key to my success this week was choosing my bets wisely based on my pick confidence. I wagered units on 6 games and won all 6. My winning percentage for the other 8 games was 50%. Efficiency, efficiency, efficiency.

        What I learned:
        - Eagles O-Line is struggling because of injuries giving the Cards have competition for worst NFL O-Line. They made the Saints defense look good. Ouch!
        - Bucs will be a contender if D. Martin can continue to run the ball and stay healthy.
        - Bears defense is elite, but I can't trust their offense... especially Cutler.
        - Browns are underrated. More TDs and less FGs.

        Let's hope next week is just as successful!
        Last edited by SmithGT; 11-06-2012, 06:52 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          Thursday 8:30

          Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars
          Vegas Line: Colts by 3.5
          Pick: Colts (0 units)
          Result: Colts 27, Jaguars 10 (Correct, 0 units)

          Sunday 1:00

          Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots
          Vegas Line: Patriots by 13
          Pick: Bills (0 units)
          Result: Bills 31, Patriot 37 (Correct, 0 units)

          New York Giants at Cincinnati Bengals
          Vegas Line: Giants by 4
          Pick: Giants (1 units)
          Result: Giants 13, Bengals 31 (Incorrect, -1.1 units)

          San Diego Chargers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
          Vegas Line: Buccaneers by 3
          GOLD Pick: Buccaneers (3 units)
          Result: Chargers 24, Buccaneers 34 (Correct, +3 units)

          Denver Broncos at Carolina Panthers
          Vegas Line: Broncos by 4
          Pick: Broncos (0 units)
          Result: Broncos 36, Panthers 14 (Correct, 0 units)

          Tennessee Titans at Miami Dolphins
          Vegas Line: Dolphins by 6
          SILVER Pick: Titans (2 units)
          Result: Titans 37, Dolphins 3 (Correct, +2 units)

          Oakland Raiders at Baltimore Ravens
          Vegas Line: Ravens by 7.5
          BRONZE Pick: Ravens (2 units)
          Result: Raiders 20, Ravens 55 (Correct, +2 units)

          Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints
          Vegas Line: Falcons by 2.5
          Pick: Falcons (0 units)
          Result: Falcons 27, Saints 31 (Incorrect, 0 units)

          Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings
          Vegas Line: Lions by 2.5
          Pick: Lions (1 units)
          Result: Lions 24, Vikings 34 (Incorrect, -1.1 units)

          Sunday 4:00

          New York Jets at Seattle Seahawks
          Vegas Line: Seahawks by 6
          Pick: Seahawks (1 units)
          Result: Jets 7, Seahawks 28 (Correct, +1 units)

          Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles
          Vegas Line: Cowboys by 2
          Pick: Cowboys (0 units)
          Result: Cowboys 38, Eagles 23 (Correct, 0 units)

          St. Louis Rams at San Francisco 49ers
          Vegas Line: 49ers by 11.5
          Pick: 49ers (0 units)
          Result: Rams 24, 49ers 24 (Incorrect, 0 units)

          Sunday 8:30

          Houston Texans at Chicago Bears
          Vegas Line: Bears by 1.5
          Pick: Texans (0 units)
          Result: Texans 13, Bears 6 (Correct, 0 units)

          Monday 8:30

          Kansas City Chiefs at Pittsburgh Steelers
          Vegas Line: Steelers by 12.5
          Pick: Steelers (0 units)
          Result: Chiefs 13, Steelers 16 (Incorrect, 0 units)
          Last edited by SmithGT; 11-12-2012, 11:05 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            Check out my blog and let me know what you think...
            SmithGT NFL Picks

            2012 Overall: 28-13
            2012 Money Games: 14-4 (+17.4 units)


            Week 10 Overall: 9-5
            Week 10 Money Games: 4-2 (+5.8 units)





            Another positive week of picking against the spread to continue my streak of profit. Knocks on wood. My top three picks were the most beneficial as I received a 100% return on my 7 total units bet. In my Gold pick, the Buccaneers stayed hot with their win over the Chargers. The development of Doug Martin has created more opportunities for QB Josh Freeman. It will be interesting to see if they can maintain this effort throughout the season. Next, my Silver pick ended up in another blowout victory. Titans defense played great against rookie QB Tannehill and controlled the game throughout. To finish things off, in my Bronze pick, the Ravens came through with an all-around great performance behind the efforts of Joe Flacco. The Raiders were missing their starting and backup running back to injuries and never had a chance in this game. I expect this trend to continue in Week 11 when they face the Saints missing these key players.

            What I learned:
            - Eli Manning and the Giants continue their struggles. Can't say I expected that.
            - Adrian Peterson is absolutely on fire these past few weeks. Looking forward to his performance against the Bears D in Week 12.
            - Seahawks continue to be a tough opponent when playing in Seattle. 5-0 against some tough competition.
            - There shouldn't be ties in the NFL. What do you think?
            Last edited by SmithGT; 11-17-2012, 06:58 PM.

            Comment


            • #7
              Thursday 8:30

              Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills
              Vegas Line: Bills by 2.5
              Pick: Bills (0 units)
              Result: Dolphins 14, Bills 19 (Correct, 0 units)

              Sunday 1:00


              Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Redskins
              Vegas Line: Redskins by 3.5
              Pick: Redskins (0 units)
              Result: Eagles 6, Redskins 31 (Correct, 0 units)

              Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions
              Vegas Line: Packers by 3
              Pick: Packers (0 units)
              Result: Packers 24, Lions 20 (Correct, 0 units)

              Arizona Cardinals at Atlanta Falcons
              Vegas Line: Falcons by 9.5
              Pick: Falcons (1 units)
              Result: Cardinals 19, Falcons 23 (Incorrect, -1.1 units)


              Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers
              Vegas Line: Buccaneers by 1
              Pick: Buccaneers (0 units)
              Result: Buccaneers 27, Panthers 21 (Correct, 0 units)

              Cleveland Browns at Dallas Cowboys
              Vegas Line: Cowboys by 7.5
              BRONZE Pick: Browns (2 units)
              Result: Browns 20, Cowboys 23 (Correct, +2 units)

              - I expect Richardson to put up a big performance against the Cowboys. The Browns defense will keep Romo to a modest performance with an interception or two, and the game will come down to the running game of Dallas. I'm taking the Browns to cover the spread in a close game.


              New York Jets at St. Louis Rams
              Vegas Line: Rams by 3.5
              Pick: Rams (0 units)
              Result: Jets 27, Rams 13 (Incorrect, 0 units)

              Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans
              Vegas Line: Texans by 14.5
              Pick: Texans (0 units)
              Result: Jaguars 37, Texans 43 (Incorrect, 0 units)

              Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs
              Vegas Line: Bengals by 3.5
              Pick: Bengals (1 units)
              Result: Bengals 28, Chiefs 6 (Correct, +1 unit)

              Sunday 4:00

              Indianapolis Colts at New England Patriots
              Vegas Line: Patriots by 9.5
              SILVER Pick: Colts (2 units)
              Result: Colts 24, Patriots 59 (Incorrect, -2.2 units)

              - 9.5 points is a ton of points given the way the Colts have been playing. Brady could easily come out gunning as he has been known to do and have the Patriots up by 2 or 3 TDs in the first half, but that's not how I see this game going. Their lackluster performance against the Bills will spill over into this week against Andrew Luck and crew. Another close game, but the Colts will cover.


              New Orleans Saints at Oakland Raiders
              Vegas Line: Saints by 4.5
              GOLD Pick: Saints (3 units)
              Result: Saints 38, Raiders 17 (Correct, +3 units)

              - The Saints are coming off two big victories at home and will head to Oakland to take on the Raiders who are missing both first and second string RBs to injury. This will result in Palmer throwing the ball around 50 times, and although the Saints pass defense is below average at best, I can't imagine him outdueling Brees. New Orleans wins by a large margin.


              San Diego Chargers at Denver Broncos
              Vegas Line: Broncos by 7.5
              Pick: Broncos (0 units)
              Result: Chargers 23, Broncos 30 (Incorrect, 0 units)

              Sunday 8:30

              Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers
              Vegas Line: Ravens by 3.5
              Pick: Ravens (1 units)
              Result: Ravens 13, Steelers 10 (Incorrect, -1.1 units)

              Monday 8:30

              Chicago Bears at San Francisco 49ers
              Vegas Line: 49ers by 3.5
              Pick: 49ers (0 units)
              Result: Bears 7, 49ers 30 (Correct, 0 units)
              Last edited by SmithGT; 11-19-2012, 10:41 PM.

              Comment


              • #8
                SmithGT NFL Picks Blog

                2012 Overall: 36-19
                2012 Money Games: 17-7 (+19.0 units)


                Week 11 Overall: 8-6
                Week 11 Money Games: 3-3 (+1.6 units)




                For Week 11, I introduced the phrase of Bulletproof Picks for my three most confident weekly bets. I started things off on the right foot with my choice in the Browns-Cowboys game in which Cleveland covered the spread and nearly pulled off an upset win taking Dallas into overtime. During the afternoon games, I had two picks going at once. Didn't have to sweat either of them as they both were blowout victories. The negative was the fact that I chose the Colts to cover the large spread in New England, but Tom Brady had other ideas. Remind me never to bet against that guy again. On the other hand, New Orleans easily handled the Raiders to give me a bit of profit for the week.

                Bulletproof Picks: 10-2 (+17.5 units)

                What I learned:
                - Falcons have what it takes to win games even when Matty Ice has a career worst performance
                - T. Richardson continues to impress, but he has to find the end zone more often
                - Alex Smith has played well this year, but the 49ers would be on another level if Colin Kaepernick can repeat that performance
                - A.J. Green has a TD in every game this year except for opening week. Consistent regardless of opponent.
                - I thought the Texans had a good defense?
                Last edited by SmithGT; 11-23-2012, 10:38 PM.

                Comment


                • #9
                  Thursday 12:30

                  Houston Texans at Detroit Lions
                  Vegas Line: Texans by 3.5
                  Pick: Texans (0 units)
                  Result: Texans 34, Lions 31 (Incorrect, 0 units)

                  Thursday 4:15

                  Washington Redskins at Dallas Cowboys
                  Vegas Line: Cowboys by 3
                  Pick: Redskins (0 units)
                  Result: Redskins 38, Cowboys 31 (Correct, 0 units)

                  Thursday 8:30

                  New England Patriots at New York Jets
                  Vegas Line: Patriots by 6.5
                  Pick: Patriots (1 units)
                  Result: Patriots 49, Jets 19 (Correct, +1 units)

                  Sunday 1:00

                  Oakland Raiders at Cincinnati Bengals
                  Vegas Line: Bengals by 8
                  Pick: Bengals (0 units)
                  Result:

                  Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns
                  Vegas Line: Steelers by 1.5
                  Pick: Steelers (0 units)
                  Result:

                  Buffalo Bills at Indianapolis Colts
                  Vegas Line: Colts by 3
                  Pick: Colts (0 units)
                  Result:

                  Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs
                  Vegas Line: Broncos by 10
                  GOLD Pick: Broncos (3 units)
                  Result:

                  - Brady Quinn will be back under center for the Chiefs. On the other sideline, Peyton Manning... Broncos win by a large margin.


                  Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars
                  Vegas Line: Titans by 4
                  Pick: Titans (0 units)
                  Result:

                  Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears
                  Vegas Line:
                  Pick: Vikings (0 units)
                  Result:

                  Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
                  Vegas Line: Falcons by 1
                  Pick: Falcons (0 units)
                  Result:

                  Seattle Seahawks at Miami Dolphins
                  Vegas Line: Seahawks by 3
                  Pick: Seahawks (1 units)
                  Result:

                  Sunday 4:00

                  Baltimore Ravens at San Diego Chargers
                  Vegas Line: Ravens by 1
                  Pick: Ravens (0 units)
                  Result:

                  San Francisco 49ers at New Orleans Saints
                  Vegas Line: 49ers by 1
                  Pick: Saints (0 units)
                  Result:

                  St. Louis Rams at Arizona Cardinals
                  Vegas Line: Cardinals by 2
                  BRONZE Pick: Rams (2 units)
                  Result:

                  - Arizona has a tough pass defense that could create problems for Sam Bradford, but I don't think it will be enough for the Cardinals to win. They have one offensive weapon on their team, Larry Fitzgerald, and he won't be a factor in this game because rookie Ryan Lindley will be pressured throughout whole game.


                  Sunday 8:30

                  Green Bay Packers at New York Giants
                  Vegas Line: Giants by 3
                  Pick: Packers (1 units)
                  Result:

                  Monday 8:30

                  Carolina Panthers at Philadelphia Eagles
                  Vegas Line: Panthers by 2.5
                  SILVER Pick: Panthers (2 units)
                  Result:

                  - Vick and McCoy have both been ruled out for this game. The Panthers only have two wins this year, but they have been in close games against tough opponents more than once. I expect them to get their third win against an Eagles teams that is missing key offensive weapons.

                  Comment

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