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Monk's 2014 NFL Picks

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  • Monk's 2014 NFL Picks

    This where I will put my picks. I dont know everything about betting and I'm not actually doing these, just thought I'd play my hand.

    Future Bets

    Browns Under 6.5 - 1 Unit LOSS
    Giants Under 8 - 2 Units WIN
    Chargers Over 8 - 2 Units WIN
    Packers to win super bowl 15/1 - 1 u
    Patriots to win super bowl 12/1 - 1 u
    Ravens to win super bowl 50/1 - 1 u LOSS

    Week 1 - 5-5 (-1 u)
    Week 2 - 2-3 (+1.5 u)
    Week 3 - 4-1 (+4 u)
    Week 4 - 3-2 (-0.5u)
    Week 5 - 2-3 (-1 u)
    Week 6 - 3-3 (+3 u)
    Week 7 - 2-2 (0 u)
    Week 8 - 4-2 (+5 u)
    Week 9 - 4-4 (+2 u)
    Week 10 - 3-4 (+3 u)
    Week 11 - 5-1 (+9 u)
    Week 12 - 6-5-1 (+2 u)
    Thanksgiving: 1-3 (-10 u)
    Future: 2-2 (+2 u)

    Overall 42-37-1 (+19 u)

    Week 1 Picks

    BUF @ CHI (-7) - 1 Unit
    TEN @ KC (-3) - 2 Units
    NE (-5.5) @ MIA - 1 Units
    CAR (-0) @ TB - 1 Unit
    SF (-5) @ DAL - 1 Unit
    NYG @ DET (-5.5) - 1 Unit
    SD (+3) @ ARI - 1 Unit
    Last edited by Monk3P0; 01-17-2015, 10:53 PM.
    2014 Champion of the Walter Football PPR League

    CMD VI Runner Up

  • #2
    Originally posted by Monk3P0 View Post
    This where I will put my picks. I dont know everything about betting and I'm not actually doing these, just thought I'd play my hand.

    O/U Team Totals from Bovanda

    Browns Under 6.5 - 1 Unit
    Giants Under 8 - 2 Units
    Chargers Over 8 - 2 Units

    Week 1 Picks

    BUF @ CHI (-7) - 1 Unit
    TEN @ KC (-3) - 2 Units
    NE (-5.5) @ MIA - 1 Units
    CAR (-0) @ TB - 1 Unit
    SF (-5) @ DAL - 1 Unit
    NYG @ DET (-5.5) - 1 Unit
    SD (+3) @ ARI - 1 Unit
    You can say that again.

    Good luck with your picks, though.

    Comment


    • #3
      Originally posted by Clovdyx View Post
      You can say that again.

      Good luck with your picks, though.
      Why becuase of the browns under?

      And thanks you too.
      2014 Champion of the Walter Football PPR League

      CMD VI Runner Up

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      • #4
        Actually nevermind, I just realized that you were talking about season wins. I thought you were saying it was the Browns' O/U for this week, in which case I would be registering for Bovada right now and betting everybody's individual over.

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        • #5
          oh alright.
          2014 Champion of the Walter Football PPR League

          CMD VI Runner Up

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          • #6
            Saturday Night Additions:

            NO (-3) @ ATL - 1 unit
            MIN @ STL (-3) - 1 unit
            CIN (-0) @ BAL - 1 unit
            2014 Champion of the Walter Football PPR League

            CMD VI Runner Up

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            • #7
              Week 1 picks

              NO (-3) @ ATL - 1 unit
              MIN @ STL (-3) - 1 unit
              CIN (-0) @ BAL - 1 unit
              BUF @ CHI (-7) - 1 Unit
              TEN @ KC (-3) - 2 Units
              NE (-5.5) @ MIA - 1 Units
              CAR (-0) @ TB - 1 Unit
              SF (-5) @ DAL - 1 Unit
              NYG @ DET (-5.5) - 1 Unit
              SD (+3) @ ARI - 1 Unit
              2014 Champion of the Walter Football PPR League

              CMD VI Runner Up

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              • #8
                That's a tough start...
                2014 Champion of the Walter Football PPR League

                CMD VI Runner Up

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                • #9
                  Originally posted by Monk3P0 View Post
                  Week 1 picks

                  NO (-3) @ ATL - 1 unit LOSS
                  MIN @ STL (-3) - 1 unit LOSS
                  CIN (-0) @ BAL - 1 unit WIN
                  BUF @ CHI (-7) - 1 Unit LOSS
                  TEN @ KC (-3) - 2 Units LOSS
                  NE (-5.5) @ MIA - 1 Units LOSS
                  CAR (-0) @ TB - 1 Unit WIN
                  SF (-5) @ DAL - 1 Unit WIN
                  NYG @ DET (-5.5) - 1 Unit
                  SD (+3) @ ARI - 1 Unit
                  -3 Units so far
                  2014 Champion of the Walter Football PPR League

                  CMD VI Runner Up

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Originally posted by Monk3P0 View Post
                    -3 Units so far
                    A little more than that, actually. You would get juiced on your wins, so you likely only made 2.75 (give or take) on your wins. Even including the Detroit and SD wins, you'd be in the hole slightly. Assuming all of your bets are -110, I have you at -1.45 for the week. Not a great start, but it could have been worse.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Originally posted by Clovdyx View Post
                      A little more than that, actually. You would get juiced on your wins, so you likely only made 2.75 (give or take) on your wins. Even including the Detroit and SD wins, you'd be in the hole slightly. Assuming all of your bets are -110, I have you at -1.45 for the week. Not a great start, but it could have been worse.
                      Thank you, I have no idea how or what you did exactly but thank you. I felt like I was guessing some of the 1:00 games, I think I'll bet less games next week.
                      2014 Champion of the Walter Football PPR League

                      CMD VI Runner Up

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Originally posted by Monk3P0 View Post
                        Thank you, I have no idea how or what you did exactly but thank you. I felt like I was guessing some of the 1:00 games, I think I'll bet less games next week.
                        Basically, when you bet on sports, it's not an even thing. If you bet $5 and win, you (typically) don't win $5 - you usually get about $4.50. This is why you see things like "Baltimore Ravens -2 1/2 -120". What this means is that, if you take the Ravens, you win $100 for every $120 you bet. If you wager one unit, valued at $100, a win only nets you $83.33 in profit.

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                        • #13
                          Week 2 Picks

                          JAX (+6)@ WAS - 3 u
                          ARI (-2.5) @ NYG - 4 u
                          NE (-3) @ MIN - 2 u
                          STL @ TB (+5.5) - 0.5 u
                          PHI @ IND (-3) - 1 u
                          Last edited by Monk3P0; 09-14-2014, 12:36 AM.
                          2014 Champion of the Walter Football PPR League

                          CMD VI Runner Up

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Increasing units on two gamaes
                            2014 Champion of the Walter Football PPR League

                            CMD VI Runner Up

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                            • #15
                              Originally posted by Monk3P0 View Post
                              Week 2 Picks

                              JAX (+6)@ WAS - 3 u LOSS
                              ARI (-2.5) @ NYG - 4 u WIN
                              NE (-3) @ MIN - 2 u WIN
                              STL @ TB (+5.5) - 0.5 u
                              PHI @ IND (-3) - 1 u
                              +3 so far.
                              2014 Champion of the Walter Football PPR League

                              CMD VI Runner Up

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